Blue Jays vs. Mariners ALCS Game 5 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 17

The Toronto Blue Jays will visit the Seattle Mariners in the fifth game of the ALCS on Friday at 6:08 p.m. ET, live on FS1 from T-Mobile Park. The teams split the first four games of the series and would move within a win of the World Series with a victory in this matchup. The favored Blue Jays have -113 moneyline odds against the underdog Mariners, who are listed at -106. Toronto is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +152 odds). The total is 7 runs for the matchup.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Blue Jays-Mariners game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Blue Jays EVEN series🚨 A-Rod, Big Papi & Derek Jeter react to Game 4, Scherzer's CLUTCH game & more

The Toronto Blue Jays evened the series against the Mariners in Seattle. A-Rod, Big Papi & Derek Jeter reacted to everything about Game 4 including Vladimir Guerrero Jr. & Scherzer's CLUTCH game.

Blue Jays vs. Mariners Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, October 17, 2025 at 6:08 p.m. ET
• Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
• How to watch on TV: FS1

Blue Jays vs. Mariners Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mariners 6, Blue Jays 5
• Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
• Win Probabilities: Blue Jays 51%, Mariners 49%

Blue Jays vs. Mariners Betting Insights

• This season, the Blue Jays have won 52 out of the 89 games, or 58.4%, in which they've been favored.
• Toronto has a record of 49-36, a 57.6% win rate, when favored by -113 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 53.1% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays.
• The Mariners have been underdogs in 52 games this season and have come away with the win 27 times (51.9%) in those contests.
• Seattle has a win-loss record of 22-22 when favored by -106 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 51.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

• The Blue Jays have a 3-2 record from the five games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Blue Jays and their opponents combined to go over the total seven times.
• The Blue Jays have gone 7-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Blue Jays Player Insights

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has 34 doubles, 23 home runs and 81 walks while hitting .292.
• Of all batters in the majors, Guerrero's home run total ranks him 62nd, and his RBI tally puts him 43rd.
• Guerrero carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with two doubles, two home runs, three walks and three RBIs.
• George Springer has hit 32 home runs to pace his team.
• Springer ranks 17th in home runs and 43rd in RBI on the year.
• Springer enters this game looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .304 with three doubles, two home runs, a walk and four RBIs.
• Ernie Clement is hitting .277 with 35 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 27 walks.
• Clement has at least one base hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with a double and an RBI.
• Alejandro Kirk is batting .282 with 18 doubles, 15 home runs and 48 walks.

Blue Jays Team Props

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

• The Mariners have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Mariners and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Mariners are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Mariners Player Insights

• Cal Raleigh has managed a team-high 60 home runs and has driven in 125 runs.
• Raleigh's home run total puts him first in the majors, and he ranks third in RBI.
• Julio Rodriguez is batting .267 with 31 doubles, four triples, 32 home runs and 44 walks.
• Among all major league hitters, Rodriguez ranks 17th in homers and 20th in RBI.
• Josh Naylor paces the Mariners' lineup with a .295 batting average.
• Eugenio Suarez has 28 doubles, 49 home runs and 46 walks while hitting .228.

Mariners Team Props

Blue Jays EVEN series🚨 A-Rod, Big Papi & Derek Jeter react to Game 4, Scherzer's CLUTCH game & more

The Toronto Blue Jays evened the series against the Mariners in Seattle. A-Rod, Big Papi & Derek Jeter reacted to everything about Game 4 including Vladimir Guerrero Jr. & Scherzer's CLUTCH game.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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