Astros vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 9

Astros vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 9

Updated Aug. 9, 2025 2:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The New York Yankees and Anthony Volpe hit the field in the second game of a three-game series against Jeremy Pena and the Houston Astros on Saturday at Yankee Stadium. The Astros are the favorite in this one, at -112, while the underdog Yankees have -107 odds to upset. Houston is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +148 odds). The total for the matchup is set at 8.5 runs.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Astros-Yankees game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Astros vs Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Houston Astros and the New York Yankees.

Astros vs. Yankees Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, August 9, 2025 at 2:05 p.m. ET
  • Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
  • How to watch on TV: MLB Network, YES, and SCHN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros -112 -107 8.5 -104 -117 -1.5 +148 -179

Astros vs. Yankees Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Yankees 6, Astros 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Astros 53%, Yankees 47%

Astros vs. Yankees Betting Insights

  • This season, the Astros have won 43 out of the 79 games, or 54.4%, in which they've been favored.
  • This season Houston has won 42 of its 77 games, or 54.5%, when favored by at least -112 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 52.8% chance of a victory for the Astros.
  • The Yankees have been underdogs in 18 games this season and have come away with the win seven times (38.9%) in those contests.
  • New York has a mark of 6-11 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by -107 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Yankees have a 51.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

  • The Astros played as the moneyline favorite in six of their last 10 games, and finished 3-3 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Astros and their opponents combined to go over the run total seven times.
  • The Astros' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 12
ERA 3.38
K/9 10.3

Astros Player Insights

  • Jose Altuve has gone yard 20 times in the 2025 campaign while knocking in 61 runs, both totals that lead the Astros.
  • Including all MLB hitters, Altuve is 26th in batting average, 51st in on-base percentage, and 42nd in slugging.
  • Altuve carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is batting .302 with a double, three home runs, three walks and eight RBIs.
  • Pena is batting .321 to pace his team.
  • Pena ranks 132nd in homers and 136th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
  • Yainer Diaz is batting .254 with 16 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 15 walks.
  • Diaz is on a four-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .250 with a double, a home run and five RBIs.
  • Jesus Sanchez has 16 doubles, four triples, 10 home runs and 31 walks while batting .257.
  • Sanchez is riding a five-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with four doubles, a walk and an RBI.

Astros Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Yainer Diaz 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+175)
Jose Altuve 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+180)
Jesus Sanchez 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+190)
Jeremy Pena 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+220)
Christian Walker 0.5 (-175) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+160)

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

  • In three games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Yankees have a record of 1-2.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Yankees and their opponents are 6-3-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Yankees have two wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 14
ERA 4.54
K/9 9.3

Yankees Player Insights

  • Aaron Judge paces the Yankees in home runs (37), runs batted in (86) and has recorded a team-high batting average of .339.
  • Judge's home run total places him fourth in the big leagues, and he ranks fifth in RBI.
  • Cody Bellinger has 20 doubles, five triples, 20 home runs and 35 walks while batting .272.
  • Bellinger is 34th among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 27th in RBI.
  • Volpe is batting .221 with 24 doubles, four triples, 17 home runs and 37 walks.
  • Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .280 with 25 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 31 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Paul Goldschmidt 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+235)
Cody Bellinger 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+180)
Aaron Judge 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (-105) - 0.5 (+140)
Luis Gil - - - -
Jazz Chisholm - - - -

Astros vs Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Houston Astros and the New York Yankees.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience
share