Astros vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 25

Seth Lugo takes the mound for the Kansas City Royals on Friday at Kauffman Stadium against Christian Walker and the Houston Astros. First pitch is at 7:40 p.m. ET. Oddsmakers list the Astros as -117 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Royals -102 moneyline odds. Houston is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 8 runs for this contest.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Astros-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Astros vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, April 25, 2025 at 7:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
• How to watch on TV: FDSKC and SCHN

Astros vs. Royals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Astros 4, Royals 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Astros 52%, Royals 48%

Astros vs. Royals Betting Insights

• This season, the Astros have been favored 15 times and won eight, or 53.3%, of those games.
• Houston has entered 12 games this season favored by -117 or more and is 7-5 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 53.9%.
• The Royals have won in three, or 23.1%, of the 13 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Kansas City has a win-loss record of 2-9 when favored by -102 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The Royals have an implied victory probability of 50.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• The Astros were favored on the moneyline for seven of their last 10 games, and they went 5-2 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Astros and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total three times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Astros' ATS record is 8-2-0 over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Jeremy Pena is batting .253 with three doubles, three home runs and eight walks.
• Including all MLB batters, Pena is 76th in batting average, 82nd in on-base percentage, and 91st in slugging.
• Pena has collected a hit in 14 straight games. During his last 10 outings he is batting .324 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and five RBI.
• Isaac Paredes has shown his power as he leads his team with four home runs and 13 runs batted in.
• Paredes is 49th in home runs and 54th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Paredes carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with a home run, two walks and three RBI.
• Jose Carlos Altuve paces the Astros with a .293 batting average.
• Altuve will look to build on his four-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .190 with a double, a walk and two RBI.
• Yordan Ruben Alvarez has collected 13 runs batted in to pace his team.
• Alvarez has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .267 with a double, three walks and three RBI.

Astros Team Props

Royals Recent Betting Performance

• In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Royals have a record of 1-5.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have failed to hit the over eight times.
• The Royals have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Royals Player Insights

• Bobby Witt Jr. paces the Royals with two home runs and has accumulated a team-best batting average of .303.
• Witt ranks 131st in homers and 114th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Witt takes a hitting streak of 16 games into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is batting .300 with four doubles, a home run, three walks and four RBI.
• Maikel Garcia has shown his power as he leads his team with two home runs.
• Garcia is currently 131st in homers and 114th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Salvador Perez leads the Royals with two long balls.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has a team-leading two home runs and has driven in 15 runs.

Royals Team Props

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