UL Monroe vs. Arkansas State Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27, 2025

UL Monroe vs. Arkansas State Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27, 2025

Updated Sep. 27, 2025 9:04 a.m. ET
Data Skrive

The UL Monroe Warhawks (2-1) host the Arkansas State Red Wolves (1-3) on Saturday, September 27, 2025 in a matchup between Sun Belt opponents at JPS Field at Malone Stadium. Arkansas State is a 1.5-point underdog. A 55.5-point over/under is set for the game.

The Warhawks won versus the UTEP Miners in their last game, 31-25. The Red Wolves' most recent game was versus the Kennesaw State Owls, and they lost by a score of 28-21.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

UL Monroe vs. Arkansas State Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 3 p.m. ET
  • Location: JPS Field at Malone Stadium in Monroe, Louisiana
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live Box Score on FOX Sports
UL Monroe vs Arkansas State Betting Information updated as of September 27, 2025, 5:45 a.m. ET.
Favorite Spread (Odds) Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Moneyline Under Moneyline
UL Monroe -1.5 (-110) -121 +100 55.5 -108 -112

UL Monroe vs. Arkansas State Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Arkansas State (+1.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (55.5)
  • Prediction: Arkansas State 35, UL Monroe 24

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the UL Monroe Warhawks vs. the Arkansas State Red Wolves game on FOX Sports!

UL Monroe vs. Arkansas State Betting Insights

  • Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Warhawks 28, Red Wolves 27.
  • The Warhawks have a 54.8% chance to claim victory in this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Red Wolves have a 50.0% implied probability.
  • UL Monroe has covered once in three matchups with a spread this season.
  • Arkansas State has a record of 2-2-0 against the spread this year.

UL Monroe vs. Arkansas State: Head-to-Head

  • In their past four head-to-head bouts, Arkansas State has defeated UL Monroe four times.
  • The last four times the Red Wolves have gone up against the Warhawks, they have a 4-0 record against the spread. The scoring has gone over the total on two occasions.
  • Over their last four head-to-head matchups, Arkansas State has scored 134 points, while UL Monroe has tallied 97.

UL Monroe vs. Arkansas State: 2025 Stats Comparison

UL Monroe Arkansas State
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 20 (124) 23.3 (91)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 32.7 (82) 33 (126)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 4 (50) 5 (74)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 3 (96) 7 (14)

UL Monroe 2025 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Braylon McReynolds RB 244 YDS / 1 TD / 81.3 YPG / 6.8 YPC
5 REC / 33 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 11 REC YPG
Aidan Armenta QB 259 YDS (54.9%) / 3 TD / 2 INT
62 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 20.7 RUSH YPG
Hunter Herring QB 13 YDS (100%) / 0 TD / 0 INT
39 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 13 RUSH YPG
Jacob Godfrey WR 5 REC / 70 YDS / 1 TD / 23.3 YPG
D'Arco Perkins-McAllister DB 12 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 SACK
Kam Canterbury DB 11 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK
Dylan Howell DL 4 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 SACK
Korian Wilson DB 11 TKL / 1 TFL

Arkansas State 2025 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Jaylen Raynor QB 918 YDS (65.5%) / 6 TD / 3 INT
143 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 35.8 RUSH YPG
Kenyon Clay RB 146 YDS / 1 TD / 36.5 YPG / 3.2 YPC
13 REC / 60 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 15 REC YPG
Chauncy Cobb WR 19 REC / 241 YDS / 0 TD / 60.3 YPG
Hunter Summers WR 14 REC / 210 YDS / 1 TD / 52.5 YPG
Avante Dickerson DB 19 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Trenton Alan Yowe DB 13 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 SACK
Terry Kirksey Jr. LB 15 TKL / 0 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT
Nigel Nelson LB 23 TKL / 0 TFL

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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