Toledo vs. UMass Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 7

Updated Oct. 7, 2023 9:05 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The UMass Minutemen (1-5) are big 19-point underdogs on Saturday, October 7, 2023 against the Toledo Rockets (4-1). The total is 56 points for this game.

Against the Northern Illinois Huskies in their most recent game, the Rockets won 35-33. Last time around, the Minutemen fell to the Arkansas State Red Wolves, with 52-28 being the final score.

Toledo vs. UMass Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 7, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET
Location: Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium in Amherst, Massachusetts
TV: ESPNU
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Toledo vs UMass Betting Information updated as of October 7, 2023, 8:45 AM ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Toledo	-19 (-109)	-1199	+732	56	-110	-110

Toledo vs. UMass Prediction

Pick ATS: UMass (+19)
Pick OU: Over (56)
Prediction: Toledo 37, UMass 26

Learn more about the Toledo Rockets vs. the UMass Minutemen game on FOX Sports!

Toledo vs. UMass Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Rockets 38, Minutemen 18.
The Rockets have a 92.3% chance to win this game per the moneyline's implied probability. The Minutemen have a 12.0% implied probability.
Toledo has covered once in four games with a spread this season.
UMass has won two games against the spread this season.

Toledo vs. UMass: Head-to-Head

In their last two head-to-head matchups, Toledo has defeated UMass two times.
The Rockets have a 2-0 record ATS in those games, while the two teams have gone over the point total on one occasion.
In their last two head-to-head matchups, Toledo has compiled 100 points against UMass, while giving up only 17 points.

Toledo vs. UMass: 2023 Stats Comparison

	Toledo	UMass
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	40.8 (9)	26.5 (53)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	22.8 (57)	39.2 (133)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	9 (102)	9 (102)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	9 (24)	7 (54)

Toledo 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
DeQuan Finn	QB	954 YDS (66.4%) / 10 TD / 4 INT 241 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 48.2 RUSH YPG
Peny Boone	RB	515 YDS / 5 TD / 103.0 YPG / 7.6 YPC 3 REC / 28 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 5.6 REC YPG
Jerjuan Newton	WR	18 REC / 260 YDS / 7 TD / 52.0 YPG
Junior Vandeross III	WR	16 REC / 294 YDS / 1 TD / 58.8 YPG
Judge Culpepper	DT	14 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 5.0 SACK
Nate Bauer	S	26 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Jeremiah Peters	OLB	8 TKL / 5.0 TFL / 3.5 SACK
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren	S	18 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 1 INT / 3 PD

UMass 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Kay'Ron Adams	RB	504 YDS / 5 TD / 84.0 YPG / 4.6 YPC 11 REC / 78 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 13.0 REC YPG
Anthony Simpson	WR	26 REC / 426 YDS / 2 TD / 71.0 YPG
Carlos Davis	QB	886 YDS (61.4%) / 6 TD / 3 INT
Gregroy Desrosiers	RB	88 YDS / 1 TD / 14.7 YPG / 7.3 YPC 12 REC / 148 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 24.7 REC YPG
Billy Wooden	DL	22 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 4.0 SACK
Tyler Rudolph	DB	16 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK / 1 INT
JB Brown	DL	17 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK
Marcus Bradley	DL	16 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK