Toledo vs. Ball State Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 22, 2025

Updated Nov. 22, 2025 9:04 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Toledo Rockets (6-4) are 28.5-point favorites when they host the Ball State Cardinals (4-6) in a MAC matchup on Saturday, November 22, 2025 at the Glass Bowl. The point total for the outing is set at 45.5.

The Rockets won versus the Miami (OH) RedHawks in their most recent game, 24-3. The Cardinals lost versus the Eastern Michigan Eagles in their last game, 24-9.

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Toledo vs. Ball State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, November 22, 2025 at 2 p.m. ET
Location: Glass Bowl in Toledo, Ohio
TV: ESPN+
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Toledo vs Ball State Betting Information updated as of November 22, 2025, 8:45 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Toledo	-28.5 (-103)	-6667	+1780	45.5	-110	-110

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Toledo vs. Ball State Prediction

Pick ATS: Ball State (+28.5)
Pick OU: Under (45.5)
Prediction: Toledo 33, Ball State 9

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Toledo Rockets vs. the Ball State Cardinals game on FOX Sports!

Toledo vs. Ball State Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Rockets 37, Cardinals 8.
The Rockets have a 98.5% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Cardinals have a 5.3% implied probability.
Toledo has won seven games against the spread this season, while failing to cover three times.
Ball State has covered six times in 10 chances against the spread this year.

Toledo vs. Ball State: Head-to-Head

In their last three head-to-head meetings, Toledo has taken down Ball State three times.
In those contests versus Toledo, the Cardinals have covered two times while never going over the point total.
In their last three head-to-head matchups, Toledo has compiled 63 points against Ball State, while surrendering only 39 points.

Toledo vs. Ball State: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Toledo	Ball State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	32 (42)	15.7 (133)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	13.4 (4)	27.5 (85)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	11 (43)	12 (54)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	16 (32)	11 (87)

Toledo 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Tucker Gleason	QB	2,199 YDS (65.6%) / 17 TD / 7 INT 103 RUSH YDS / 4 RUSH TD / 11.4 RUSH YPG
DeaMonte Trayanum	RB	728 YDS / 9 TD / 91 YPG / 5.4 YPC 14 REC / 128 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 18.3 REC YPG
Junior Vandeross III	WR	64 REC / 749 YDS / 9 TD / 74.9 YPG
Kenji Christian	RB	441 YDS / 3 TD / 44.1 YPG / 5.2 YPC 15 REC / 181 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 22.6 REC YPG
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren	DB	54 TKL / 2 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT
K'Von Sherman	LB	56 TKL / 8 TFL / 2 SACK
Braden Awls	DB	39 TKL / 3 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 5 INT
Malachi Davis	DL	26 TKL / 8 TFL / 5 SACK

Ball State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Kiael Kelly	QB	1,217 YDS (57.5%) / 8 TD / 6 INT 537 RUSH YDS / 5 RUSH TD / 53.7 RUSH YPG
Qua Ashley	RB	525 YDS / 4 TD / 58.3 YPG / 4.9 YPC 20 REC / 105 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 11.7 REC YPG
TJ Horton	RB	177 YDS / 0 TD / 19.7 YPG / 3.4 YPC 11 REC / 71 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 8.9 REC YPG
Qian Magwood	WR	14 REC / 257 YDS / 1 TD / 25.7 YPG
Nate Voorhis	DL	38 TKL / 11 TFL / 9 SACK
DeJuan Echoles Jr.	LB	23 TKL / 1 TFL / 3 SACK
Alfred Chea Jr.	LB	45 TKL / 1 TFL
Joey Stemler	LB	40 TKL / 0 TFL