Texas vs. Mississippi State Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 25, 2025

Updated Oct. 25, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

FOX Sports

The No. 22 Texas Longhorns (5-2) are 7.5-point favorites when they visit the Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-3) in conference play on Saturday, October 25, 2025 at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field. The total has been set at 48.5 points for this game.

The Longhorns won against the Kentucky Wildcats in their most recent game, 16-13. In their last contest, the Bulldogs lost against the Florida Gators, 23-21.

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Texas vs. Mississippi State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 25, 2025 at 4:15 p.m. ET
Location: Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field in Starkville, Mississippi
TV: SEC Network
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Texas vs Mississippi State Betting Information updated as of October 25, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Texas	-7.5 (-107)	-290	+236	48.5	-108	-118

Texas vs. Mississippi State Prediction

Pick ATS: Mississippi State (+7.5)
Pick OU: Under (48.5)
Prediction: Texas 23, Mississippi State 22

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Texas Longhorns vs. the Mississippi State Bulldogs game on FOX Sports!

Texas vs. Mississippi State Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Longhorns 28, Bulldogs 20.
The Longhorns have a 74.4% chance to collect the win in this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Bulldogs have a 29.8% implied probability.
Texas has covered twice in seven games with a spread this season.
Mississippi State has put together a 6-1-0 record against the spread this season.

Texas vs. Mississippi State: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Texas	Mississippi State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	26.7 (82)	31.9 (49)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	11.3 (4)	20.3 (39)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	6 (21)	8 (56)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	13 (15)	13 (15)

Texas 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Arch Manning	QB	1,449 YDS (60.3%) / 12 TD / 5 INT 193 RUSH YDS / 5 RUSH TD / 27.6 RUSH YPG
Ryan Wingo	WR	24 REC / 320 YDS / 4 TD / 45.7 YPG
Parker Livingstone	WR	15 REC / 308 YDS / 3 TD / 44 YPG
Quintrevion Wisner	RB	222 YDS / 2 TD / 55.5 YPG / 3.8 YPC 10 REC / 72 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 18 REC YPG
Colin Simmons	DL	20 TKL / 6 TFL / 7 SACK
Anthony Hill Jr.	LB	44 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Michael Taaffe	DB	43 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
Jelani McDonald	DB	38 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD

Mississippi State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Blake Shapen	QB	1,528 YDS (66.7%) / 9 TD / 5 INT 18 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 2.6 RUSH YPG
Da'Marion Bothwell	RB	465 YDS / 6 TD / 77.5 YPG / 5.5 YPC
Brenen Thompson	WR	29 REC / 533 YDS / 4 TD / 76.1 YPG
Davon Booth	RB	370 YDS / 6 TD / 52.9 YPG / 4.6 YPC
Brylan Lanier	DB	32 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK / 3 INT
Jahron Manning	DB	46 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Isaac Smith	DB	32 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
Zakari Tillman	LB	29 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT