Texas vs. Kentucky Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 18, 2025

Updated Oct. 18, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

SEC opponents meet when the No. 21 Texas Longhorns (4-2) visit the Kentucky Wildcats (2-3) on Saturday, October 18, 2025 at Kroger Field. Texas is favored by 12.5 points. The point total is 44.

The Longhorns beat the Oklahoma Sooners, 23-6, in their last game. Last time around, the Wildcats fell to the Georgia Bulldogs, with 35-14 being the final score.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

Texas vs. Kentucky Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 18, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
Location: Kroger Field in Lexington, Kentucky
TV: ESPN
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Texas vs Kentucky Betting Information updated as of October 18, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Texas	-12.5 (-111)	-493	+373	44	-110	-110

Texas vs. Kentucky Prediction

Pick ATS: Kentucky (+12.5)
Pick OU: Over (44)
Prediction: Texas 27, Kentucky 19

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Texas Longhorns vs. the Kentucky Wildcats game on FOX Sports!

Texas vs. Kentucky Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Longhorns 28, Wildcats 16.
The Longhorns have an 83.1% chance to collect the win in this game per the moneyline's implied probability. The Wildcats hold a 21.1% implied probability.
Texas has a record of 2-4-0 against the spread this season.
Kentucky has covered just once in five chances against the spread this year.

Texas vs. Kentucky: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Texas	Kentucky
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	28.5 (75)	24.4 (119)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	11 (3)	27.8 (59)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	6 (35)	8 (76)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	12 (12)	6 (88)

Texas 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Arch Manning	QB	1,317 YDS (63%) / 12 TD / 5 INT 194 RUSH YDS / 5 RUSH TD / 32.3 RUSH YPG
Ryan Wingo	WR	22 REC / 298 YDS / 4 TD / 49.7 YPG
Parker Livingstone	WR	15 REC / 308 YDS / 3 TD / 51.3 YPG
Quintrevion Wisner	RB	185 YDS / 1 TD / 61.7 YPG / 4 YPC 8 REC / 56 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 18.7 REC YPG
Michael Taaffe	DB	34 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
Jelani McDonald	DB	29 TKL / 0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Anthony Hill Jr.	LB	32 TKL / 0 TFL
Colin Simmons	DL	16 TKL / 4 TFL / 4 SACK

Kentucky 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Seth McGowan	RB	431 YDS / 7 TD / 86.2 YPG / 5.5 YPC
Cutter Boley	QB	627 YDS (57.1%) / 4 TD / 3 INT
Dante Dowdell	RB	247 YDS / 1 TD / 49.4 YPG / 4.4 YPC
Josh Kattus	TE	9 REC / 141 YDS / 2 TD / 35.3 YPG
Alex Afari	LB	37 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK
Ty Bryant	DB	31 TKL / 0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Jonquis Hardaway	DB	31 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Jordan Lovett	DB	30 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD