Texas State vs. North Texas Prediction, Odds, Picks - January 3, 2025

Updated Jan. 3, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The First Responder Bowl features a battle between the Texas State Bobcats (who are two-touchdown favorites) and the North Texas Mean Green on January 3, 2025 at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN. The total for this matchup has been set at 65.5 points.

Facing the South Alabama Jaguars in their most recent contest, the Bobcats won 45-38. Last time around, the Mean Green defeated the Temple Owls, with 24-17 being the final score.

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Texas State vs. North Texas Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, January 3, 2025 at 4 p.m. ET
Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium in University Park, Texas
TV: ESPN
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Texas State vs North Texas Betting Information updated as of January 3, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Texas State	-14 (-111)	-610	+443	65.5	-110	-109

Texas State vs. North Texas Prediction

Pick ATS: North Texas (+14)
Pick OU: Push
Prediction: Texas State 39, North Texas 27

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Texas State Bobcats vs. the North Texas Mean Green game on FOX Sports!

Texas State vs. North Texas Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Bobcats 40, Mean Green 26.
The Bobcats have an 85.9% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Mean Green have an 18.4% implied probability.
Texas State has covered six times in 11 matchups with a spread this season.
North Texas has compiled a 4-8-0 record against the spread this season.

Texas State vs. North Texas: 2024 Stats Comparison

	Texas State	North Texas
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	37.1 (23)	34 (40)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	24.3 (40)	34.5 (119)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	21 (99)	19 (74)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	15 (87)	13 (102)

Texas State 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jordan McCloud	QB	2,915 YDS (69.5%) / 29 TD / 12 INT 276 RUSH YDS / 7 RUSH TD / 23 RUSH YPG
Ismail Mahdi	RB	991 YDS / 4 TD / 82.6 YPG / 5.4 YPC 24 REC / 195 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 19.5 REC YPG
Joey Hobert	WR	66 REC / 668 YDS / 8 TD / 60.7 YPG
Jaden Williams	WR	49 REC / 652 YDS / 6 TD / 59.3 YPG
Jordan Polk	DB	55 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK
Steven Parker	DL	28 TKL / 5 TFL / 5 SACK
Brice Bass	DL	37 TKL / 4 TFL / 2.5 SACK
Kalil Alexander	DL	25 TKL / 4 TFL / 5.5 SACK

North Texas 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Chandler Morris	QB	3,774 YDS (63.3%) / 31 TD / 12 INT 242 RUSH YDS / 4 RUSH TD / 20.2 RUSH YPG
DT Sheffield	WR	66 REC / 822 YDS / 11 TD / 68.5 YPG
Shane Porter	RB	643 YDS / 5 TD / 53.6 YPG / 6.8 YPC
Makenzie McGill	RB	442 YDS / 9 TD / 36.8 YPG / 6.2 YPC
Jayden Hill	DB	64 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
Brian Nelson II	DB	43 TKL / 2 TFL / 4 INT / 4 PD
Jaylen Smith	LB	62 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Ethan Wesloski	LB	52 TKL / 4 TFL / 2.5 SACK