TCU vs. Baylor Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 18, 2025

Updated Oct. 18, 2025 9:04 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The TCU Horned Frogs (4-2), who have college football's fifth-ranked passing offense, square off against the Baylor Bears (4-2) and their first-ranked passing attack on Saturday, October 18, 2025. The Horned Frogs are 3-point favorites. The contest's point total is 65.5.

Last time around, the Horned Frogs fell to the Kansas State Wildcats, with 41-28 being the final score. In their most recent contest, the Bears won versus the Kansas State Wildcats, 35-34.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

TCU vs. Baylor Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 18, 2025 at 12 p.m. ET
Location: Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Texas
TV: ESPN2
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

TCU vs Baylor Betting Information updated as of October 18, 2025, 8:45 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
TCU	-3 (-108)	-150	+126	65.5	-109	-111

TCU vs. Baylor Prediction

Pick ATS: TCU (-3)
Pick OU: Under (65.5)
Prediction: TCU 35, Baylor 29

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the TCU Horned Frogs vs. the Baylor Bears game on FOX Sports!

TCU vs. Baylor Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Horned Frogs 34, Bears 31.
The Horned Frogs have a 60.0% chance to win this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Bears hold a 44.2% implied probability.
TCU has put together a 3-2-1 record against the spread this season.
Baylor has covered just once in six matchups with a spread this season.

TCU vs. Baylor: Head-to-Head

Over their last four meetings, TCU has put up three wins against Baylor.
The two teams have gone over the point total on two occasions while sharing an even 2-2 record in their matchups against the spread.
Baylor has been outscored by 25 points in its last four tilts versus TCU.

TCU vs. Baylor: 2025 Stats Comparison

	TCU	Baylor
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	35.3 (37)	36.3 (30)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	24.7 (64)	29.7 (100)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	9 (93)	10 (105)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	10 (30)	6 (88)

TCU 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Josh Hoover	QB	1,893 YDS (64.7%) / 18 TD / 6 INT 9 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 1.5 RUSH YPG
Eric McAlister	WR	21 REC / 541 YDS / 7 TD / 90.2 YPG
Jordan Dwyer	WR	25 REC / 357 YDS / 2 TD / 59.5 YPG
Joseph Manjack IV	WR	21 REC / 309 YDS / 2 TD / 51.5 YPG
Kaleb Elarms-Orr	LB	41 TKL / 5 TFL / 3 SACK
Jamel Johnson	DB	41 TKL / 0 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD
Namdi Obiazor	LB	37 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 SACK / 1 INT
Bud Clark	DB	24 TKL / 0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD

Baylor 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Sawyer Robertson	QB	2,058 YDS (63.7%) / 19 TD / 4 INT 11 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 1.8 RUSH YPG
Bryson Washington	RB	557 YDS / 5 TD / 92.8 YPG / 5.5 YPC 11 REC / 59 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 9.8 REC YPG
Michael Trigg	TE	29 REC / 439 YDS / 4 TD / 73.2 YPG
Kobe Prentice	WR	17 REC / 265 YDS / 6 TD / 44.2 YPG
Keaton Thomas	LB	40 TKL / 1 TFL
Devyn Bobby	DB	25 TKL / 0 TFL
Jacob Redding	DB	17 TKL / 0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
DJ Coleman	DB	19 TKL / 2 TFL