SMU vs. Cal Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 29, 2025

SMU vs. Cal Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 29, 2025

Updated Nov. 29, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The California Golden Bears (6-5) are 13.5-point underdogs in a home ACC matchup against the No. 25 SMU Mustangs (8-3) on Saturday, November 29, 2025 at California Memorial Stadium. An over/under of 53.5 is set for the game.

The Mustangs won against the Louisville Cardinals in their last game, 38-6. The Golden Bears lost versus the Stanford Cardinal in their last game, 31-10.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

SMU vs. Cal Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, November 29, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
  • Location: California Memorial Stadium in Berkeley, California
  • TV: ESPN2
  • Live Box Score on FOX Sports
SMU vs Cal Betting Information updated as of November 29, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite Spread (Odds) Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Moneyline Under Moneyline
SMU -13.5 (-109) -543 +403 53.5 -109 -111

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SMU vs. Cal Prediction

  • Pick ATS: SMU (-13.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (53.5)
  • Prediction: SMU 33, Cal 18

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the SMU Mustangs vs. the California Golden Bears game on FOX Sports!

SMU vs. Cal Betting Insights

  • Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Mustangs 34, Golden Bears 20.
  • The Mustangs have an 84.4% chance to win this game per the moneyline's implied probability. The Golden Bears have a 19.9% implied probability.
  • SMU has won five games against the spread this season, while failing to cover five times.
  • Cal has covered four times in 11 chances against the spread this season.

SMU vs. Cal: 2025 Stats Comparison

SMU Cal
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 32.7 (36) 23.6 (100)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 19.1 (19) 25.7 (73)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 15 (77) 15 (77)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 27 (2) 12 (89)

SMU 2025 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Kevin Jennings QB 3,113 YDS (66.1%) / 24 TD / 9 INT
28 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 2.5 RUSH YPG
Tomarion Harden RB 702 YDS / 6 TD / 63.8 YPG / 4.6 YPC
16 REC / 80 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 11.4 REC YPG
Jordan Hudson WR 50 REC / 691 YDS / 5 TD / 76.8 YPG
Yamir Knight WR 43 REC / 504 YDS / 5 TD / 45.8 YPG
Ahmaad Moses DB 67 TKL / 4 TFL / 1 SACK / 5 INT
Isaiah Smith DL 36 TKL / 11 TFL / 9 SACK
Isaiah Nwokobia DB 64 TKL / 0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Cam Robertson DL 32 TKL / 6 TFL / 5 SACK

Cal 2025 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Kendrick Raphael RB 751 YDS / 11 TD / 68.3 YPG / 4.1 YPC
26 REC / 178 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 17.8 REC YPG
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele QB 2,779 YDS (62.1%) / 13 TD / 9 INT
-135 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / -12.3 RUSH YPG
Jacob De Jesus WR 86 REC / 787 YDS / 4 TD / 71.5 YPG
Trond Grizzell WR 45 REC / 669 YDS / 1 TD / 60.8 YPG
Cade Uluave LB 66 TKL / 9 TFL / 3 SACK
Luke Ferrelli LB 41 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
Dru Polidore DB 36 TKL / 2 TFL
Hezekiah Masses DB 23 TKL / 1 TFL / 5 INT / 5 PD

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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