SMU vs. Cal Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 29, 2025

Updated Nov. 29, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The California Golden Bears (6-5) are 13.5-point underdogs in a home ACC matchup against the No. 25 SMU Mustangs (8-3) on Saturday, November 29, 2025 at California Memorial Stadium. An over/under of 53.5 is set for the game.

The Mustangs won against the Louisville Cardinals in their last game, 38-6. The Golden Bears lost versus the Stanford Cardinal in their last game, 31-10.

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SMU vs. Cal Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, November 29, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
Location: California Memorial Stadium in Berkeley, California
TV: ESPN2
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

SMU vs Cal Betting Information updated as of November 29, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
SMU	-13.5 (-109)	-543	+403	53.5	-109	-111

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SMU vs. Cal Prediction

Pick ATS: SMU (-13.5)
Pick OU: Under (53.5)
Prediction: SMU 33, Cal 18

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the SMU Mustangs vs. the California Golden Bears game on FOX Sports!

SMU vs. Cal Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Mustangs 34, Golden Bears 20.
The Mustangs have an 84.4% chance to win this game per the moneyline's implied probability. The Golden Bears have a 19.9% implied probability.
SMU has won five games against the spread this season, while failing to cover five times.
Cal has covered four times in 11 chances against the spread this season.

SMU vs. Cal: 2025 Stats Comparison

	SMU	Cal
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	32.7 (36)	23.6 (100)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	19.1 (19)	25.7 (73)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	15 (77)	15 (77)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	27 (2)	12 (89)

SMU 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Kevin Jennings	QB	3,113 YDS (66.1%) / 24 TD / 9 INT 28 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 2.5 RUSH YPG
Tomarion Harden	RB	702 YDS / 6 TD / 63.8 YPG / 4.6 YPC 16 REC / 80 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 11.4 REC YPG
Jordan Hudson	WR	50 REC / 691 YDS / 5 TD / 76.8 YPG
Yamir Knight	WR	43 REC / 504 YDS / 5 TD / 45.8 YPG
Ahmaad Moses	DB	67 TKL / 4 TFL / 1 SACK / 5 INT
Isaiah Smith	DL	36 TKL / 11 TFL / 9 SACK
Isaiah Nwokobia	DB	64 TKL / 0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Cam Robertson	DL	32 TKL / 6 TFL / 5 SACK

Cal 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Kendrick Raphael	RB	751 YDS / 11 TD / 68.3 YPG / 4.1 YPC 26 REC / 178 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 17.8 REC YPG
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele	QB	2,779 YDS (62.1%) / 13 TD / 9 INT -135 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / -12.3 RUSH YPG
Jacob De Jesus	WR	86 REC / 787 YDS / 4 TD / 71.5 YPG
Trond Grizzell	WR	45 REC / 669 YDS / 1 TD / 60.8 YPG
Cade Uluave	LB	66 TKL / 9 TFL / 3 SACK
Luke Ferrelli	LB	41 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
Dru Polidore	DB	36 TKL / 2 TFL
Hezekiah Masses	DB	23 TKL / 1 TFL / 5 INT / 5 PD