Ohio State vs. Miami (FL) Prediction, Odds, Picks - December 31, 2025

Updated Dec. 31, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

In the quarterfinals of the College Football Playoff, the No. 3 Ohio State Buckeyes (12-1) will face the Miami Hurricanes (11-2) in the Cotton Bowl, starting at 7:30 p.m. ET in Arlington, Texas. Ohio State is favored by 9.5 points. The game has a 40.5-point over/under.

Last time out, the Buckeyes fell to the Indiana Hoosiers, with 13-10 being the final score. The Hurricanes' most recent game was against the Texas A&M Aggies, and they won by a score of 10-3.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

Ohio State vs. Miami (FL) Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, December 31, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
Location: AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas
TV: ESPN
Streaming: FOX One + ESPN Bundle

Ohio State vs Miami (FL) Betting Information updated as of December 31, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Ohio State	-9.5 (-110)	-356	+283	40.5	-111	-109

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Ohio State vs. Miami (FL) Prediction

Pick ATS: Miami (FL) (+9.5)
Pick OU: Over (40.5)
Prediction: Ohio State 24, Miami (FL) 19

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Ohio State Buckeyes vs. the Miami Hurricanes game on FOX Sports!

Ohio State vs. Miami (FL) Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Buckeyes 25, Hurricanes 16.
The Buckeyes have a 78.1% chance to collect the win in this game per the moneyline's implied probability. The Hurricanes hold a 26.1% implied probability.
Ohio State has compiled a 10-3-0 ATS record so far this year.
Miami (FL) has compiled an 8-5-0 record against the spread this year.

Ohio State vs. Miami (FL): 2025 Stats Comparison

	Ohio State	Miami (FL)
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	34.9 (16)	32.2 (27)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	8.2 (1)	13 (4)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	9 (7)	12 (18)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	13 (95)	23 (17)

Ohio State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Julian Sayin	QB	3,323 YDS (78.4%) / 31 TD / 6 INT
Jeremiah Smith	WR	80 REC / 1,086 YDS / 11 TD / 90.5 YPG
Bo Jackson	RB	1,035 YDS / 5 TD / 86.3 YPG / 6.2 YPC 19 REC / 200 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 22.2 REC YPG
Carnell Tate	WR	48 REC / 838 YDS / 9 TD / 76.2 YPG
Caden Curry	DL	54 TKL / 15 TFL / 11 SACK
Arvell Reese	LB	62 TKL / 8 TFL / 6.5 SACK
Sonny Styles	LB	76 TKL / 4 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT
Caleb Downs	DB	56 TKL / 5 TFL / 1 SACK / 2 INT

Miami (FL) 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Carson Beck	QB	3,175 YDS (74.3%) / 26 TD / 10 INT 33 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 2.8 RUSH YPG
Malachi Toney	WR	89 REC / 992 YDS / 8 TD / 76.3 YPG
Mark Fletcher	RB	857 YDS / 10 TD / 77.9 YPG / 5.4 YPC 14 REC / 107 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 11.9 REC YPG
CharMar Brown	RB	375 YDS / 5 TD / 31.3 YPG / 3.8 YPC 16 REC / 115 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 14.4 REC YPG
Jakobe Thomas	DB	52 TKL / 4 TFL / 3.5 SACK / 4 INT
Akheem Mesidor	DL	45 TKL / 7 TFL / 8.5 SACK
Keionte Scott	DB	53 TKL / 8 TFL / 5 SACK / 1 INT
Rueben Bain Jr.	DL	38 TKL / 8 TFL / 7.5 SACK / 1 INT