North Carolina vs. NC State Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 25

Updated Nov. 25, 2023 3:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The North Carolina Tar Heels (8-3) take college football's 13th-ranked rushing attack into a matchup with the NC State Wolfpack (8-3), who have the No. 17 rushing defense, on Saturday, November 25, 2023. The Tar Heels are just 2.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 56 points for the contest.

Last time around, the Tar Heels fell to the Clemson Tigers, with 31-20 being the final score. The Wolfpack won versus the Virginia Tech Hokies in their last game, 35-28.

North Carolina vs. NC State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, November 25, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
Location: Wayne Day Family Field at Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh, North Carolina
TV: ACC Network
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

North Carolina vs NC State Betting Information updated as of November 25, 2023, 2:46 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
North Carolina	-2.5 (-110)	-136	+114	56	-110	-110

North Carolina vs. NC State Prediction

Pick ATS: NC State (+2.5)
Pick OU: Under (56)
Prediction: NC State 29, North Carolina 26

Learn more about the North Carolina Tar Heels vs. the NC State Wolfpack game on FOX Sports!

North Carolina vs. NC State Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Tar Heels 29, Wolfpack 27.
The Tar Heels have a 57.6% chance to collect the win in this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Wolfpack hold a 46.7% implied probability.
North Carolina has covered six times in 11 games with a spread this season.
NC State has covered five times in 10 matchups with a spread this season.

North Carolina vs. NC State: Head-to-Head

Over their last two meetings, NC State has totaled two wins versus North Carolina.
In their last two matchups, each team has covered one time while both contests hit the over on the total.
In their last two head-to-head matchups, NC State has racked up 64 points versus North Carolina, while surrendering only 57 points.

North Carolina vs. NC State: 2023 Stats Comparison

	North Carolina	NC State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	38.1 (15)	25.7 (80)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	26.0 (61)	20.2 (29)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	11 (21)	14 (48)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	20 (17)	21 (11)

North Carolina 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Drake Maye	QB	3,354 YDS (63.8%) / 22 TD / 7 INT 343 RUSH YDS / 8 RUSH TD / 31.2 RUSH YPG
Omarion Hampton	RB	1,414 YDS / 15 TD / 128.5 YPG / 6.3 YPC 24 REC / 204 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 18.5 REC YPG
Devontez Walker	WR	39 REC / 670 YDS / 6 TD / 60.9 YPG
Bryson Nesbit	TE	38 REC / 537 YDS / 5 TD / 48.8 YPG
Cedric Gray	LB	102 TKL / 6.0 TFL / 4.5 SACK / 1 INT
Kaimon Rucker	LB	48 TKL / 10.0 TFL / 8.5 SACK
Power Echols	LB	86 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Don Chapman	DB	51 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK / 2 INT

NC State 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Brennan Armstrong	QB	1,285 YDS (61.1%) / 8 TD / 6 INT 522 RUSH YDS / 6 RUSH TD / 47.5 RUSH YPG
Kevin Concepcion	WR	57 REC / 636 YDS / 8 TD / 57.8 YPG
Delbert Mimms III	RB	225 YDS / 7 TD / 20.5 YPG / 2.9 YPC
MJ Morris	QB	719 YDS (55.8%) / 7 TD / 5 INT
Payton Wilson	LB	119 TKL / 12.0 TFL / 5.0 SACK / 2 INT
Sean Brown	S	54 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK / 2 INT
Davin Vann	DT	33 TKL / 5.0 TFL / 6.5 SACK
Jaylon Scott	LB	63 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK