New Mexico vs. Air Force Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 22, 2025

Updated Nov. 22, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The New Mexico Lobos (7-3) and the 18th-ranked run defense will visit the Air Force Falcons (3-7) and the third-ranked run offense on Saturday, November 22, 2025. The Falcons are 3.5-point underdogs. The over/under is set at 53.5 points for the outing.

Facing the Colorado State Rams in their most recent contest, the Lobos won 20-17. The Falcons lost versus the UConn Huskies in their last game, 26-16.

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New Mexico vs. Air Force Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, November 22, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
Location: Falcon Stadium in Colorado Springs, Colorado
TV: CBS Sports Network
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

New Mexico vs Air Force Betting Information updated as of November 22, 2025, 12:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
New Mexico	-3.5 (-106)	-161	+135	53.5	-108	-112

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New Mexico vs. Air Force Prediction

Pick ATS: New Mexico (-3.5)
Pick OU: Over (53.5)
Prediction: New Mexico 33, Air Force 26

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the New Mexico Lobos vs. the Air Force Falcons game on FOX Sports!

New Mexico vs. Air Force Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Lobos 28, Falcons 25.
The Lobos have a 61.7% chance to collect the win in this meeting per the moneyline's implied probability. The Falcons have a 42.6% implied probability.
New Mexico has won five games against the spread this season, while failing to cover five times.
Air Force has put together a 4-6-0 ATS record so far this year.

New Mexico vs. Air Force: Head-to-Head

Air Force holds a 2-1 record against New Mexico in their last three matchups.
The last three times the Falcons have played the Lobos, they have put up a 2-1 record against the spread. The scoring went over the total each time.
New Mexico has been outpaced by 45 points in its last three tilts versus Air Force.

New Mexico vs. Air Force: 2025 Stats Comparison

	New Mexico	Air Force
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	29.2 (63)	31.3 (48)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	25 (67)	32.3 (116)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	21 (132)	10 (25)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	12 (72)	10 (100)

New Mexico 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jack Layne	QB	2,166 YDS (66.8%) / 12 TD / 9 INT 117 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 11.7 RUSH YPG
Damon Bankston	RB	461 YDS / 4 TD / 46.1 YPG / 5.5 YPC 22 REC / 339 REC YDS / 3 REC TD / 33.9 REC YPG
DJ McKinney	RB	365 YDS / 6 TD / 36.5 YPG / 4 YPC 12 REC / 149 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 16.6 REC YPG
Keagan Johnson	WR	50 REC / 638 YDS / 3 TD / 70.9 YPG
Jaxton Eck	LB	89 TKL / 2 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Keyshawn James-Newby	DL	35 TKL / 9 TFL / 6.5 SACK
Brett Karhu	DL	16 TKL / 7 TFL / 5 SACK
Tavian Combs	DB	37 TKL / 0 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT

Air Force 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Liam Szarka	QB	1,296 YDS (62.5%) / 9 TD / 5 INT 923 RUSH YDS / 13 RUSH TD / 92.3 RUSH YPG
Cade Harris	WR	33 REC / 563 YDS / 2 TD / 56.3 YPG
Owen Allen	RB	634 YDS / 3 TD / 70.4 YPG / 6.3 YPC
Dylan Carson	RB	382 YDS / 4 TD / 38.2 YPG / 4.8 YPC
Roger Jones Jr.	DB	55 TKL / 0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Blake Fletcher	LB	76 TKL / 0 TFL
Max Mustell	DB	37 TKL / 0 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD
Isaac Hubert	LB	18 TKL / 7 TFL / 3 SACK