NC State vs. Memphis Prediction, Odds, Picks - December 19, 2025

Published Dec. 16, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The NC State Wolfpack are 4.5-point favorites as they head into a showdown with the Memphis Tigers in the Gasparilla Bowl on December 19, 2025 at 2:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. The contest has a 58.5-point over/under.

The Wolfpack's last game was versus the North Carolina Tar Heels, and they won by a score of 42-19. In their most recent game, the Tigers lost against the Navy Midshipmen, 28-17.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

NC State vs. Memphis Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, December 19, 2025 at 2:30 p.m. ET
Location: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida
TV: ESPN
Streaming: FOX One + ESPN Bundle

NC State vs Memphis Betting Information updated as of December 16, 2025, 12:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
NC State	-4.5 (-110)	-200	+165	58.5	-111	-109

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NC State vs. Memphis Prediction

Pick ATS: Memphis (+4.5)
Pick OU: Under (58.5)
Prediction: NC State 29, Memphis 28

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the NC State Wolfpack vs. the Memphis Tigers game on FOX Sports!

NC State vs. Memphis Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Wolfpack 32, Tigers 27.
The Wolfpack have a 66.7% chance to collect the win in this game based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Tigers have a 37.7% implied probability.
NC State has put together a 6-6-0 record against the spread this season.
Memphis has compiled an 8-4-0 record against the spread this year.

NC State vs. Memphis: 2025 Stats Comparison

	NC State	Memphis
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	30.2 (49)	34.6 (23)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	28.8 (92)	22.5 (47)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	13 (36)	10 (10)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	13 (92)	19 (35)

NC State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
CJ Bailey	QB	2,884 YDS (69.6%) / 23 TD / 9 INT 215 RUSH YDS / 5 RUSH TD / 17.9 RUSH YPG
Daylan Smothers	RB	939 YDS / 6 TD / 85.4 YPG / 5.9 YPC 37 REC / 189 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 17.2 REC YPG
Terrell Anderson	WR	38 REC / 637 YDS / 5 TD / 53.1 YPG
Justin Joly	TE	47 REC / 468 YDS / 7 TD / 42.5 YPG
Caden Fordham	LB	106 TKL / 4 TFL / 3.5 SACK / 1 INT
Cian Slone	LB	45 TKL / 3 TFL / 1.5 SACK / 1 INT
Kenny Soares Jr.	LB	55 TKL / 2 TFL / 0.5 SACK
Asaad Brown Jr.	DB	41 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD

Memphis 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Brendon Lewis	QB	2,567 YDS (69.7%) / 15 TD / 6 INT 613 RUSH YDS / 9 RUSH TD / 51.1 RUSH YPG
Cortez Braham	WR	63 REC / 889 YDS / 8 TD / 74.1 YPG
Gregroy Desrosiers	RB	563 YDS / 7 TD / 56.3 YPG / 5.7 YPC 32 REC / 228 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 25.3 REC YPG
Sutton Smith	RB	669 YDS / 7 TD / 55.8 YPG / 6.6 YPC
Sam Brumfield	LB	77 TKL / 11 TFL / 4.5 SACK / 1 INT
Kamari Wilson	DB	59 TKL / 4 TFL / 1 SACK / 2 INT
Drue Watts	DB	56 TKL / 9 TFL / 3 SACK
Everett Roussaw Jr.	LB	51 TKL / 3 TFL / 2.5 SACK / 1 INT