Minnesota vs. New Mexico Prediction, Odds, Picks - December 26, 2025

Updated Dec. 24, 2025 3:06 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Rate Bowl features a matchup between the Minnesota Golden Gophers (who are just 2.5-point favorites) and the New Mexico Lobos on December 26, 2025 at 4:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. The contest's point total is set at 43.5.

Last time around, the Golden Gophers defeated the Wisconsin Badgers, with 17-7 being the final score. The Lobos won against the San Diego State Aztecs in their most recent game, 23-17.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

Minnesota vs. New Mexico Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, December 26, 2025 at 4:30 p.m. ET
Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
TV: ESPN
Streaming: FOX One + ESPN Bundle

Minnesota vs New Mexico Betting Information updated as of December 24, 2025, 2:45 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Minnesota	-2.5 (-111)	-133	+112	43.5	-105	-115

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Minnesota vs. New Mexico Prediction

Pick ATS: New Mexico (+2.5)
Pick OU: Over (43.5)
Prediction: New Mexico 25, Minnesota 23

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. the New Mexico Lobos game on FOX Sports!

Minnesota vs. New Mexico Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Golden Gophers 23, Lobos 20.
The Golden Gophers have a 57.1% chance to collect the win in this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Lobos hold a 47.2% implied probability.
Minnesota has won four games against the spread this season, while failing to cover eight times.
New Mexico has compiled a 7-5-0 ATS record so far this season.

Minnesota vs. New Mexico: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Minnesota	New Mexico
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	23.3 (100)	27.9 (71)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	23.4 (52)	22.5 (45)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	8 (3)	22 (124)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	15 (71)	16 (60)

Minnesota 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Drake Lindsey	QB	2,235 YDS (63.2%) / 16 TD / 6 INT -104 RUSH YDS / 4 RUSH TD / -8.7 RUSH YPG
Darius Taylor	RB	554 YDS / 3 TD / 61.6 YPG / 4.7 YPC 30 REC / 222 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 27.8 REC YPG
Javon Tracy	WR	35 REC / 439 YDS / 6 TD / 36.6 YPG
Lemeke Brockington	WR	46 REC / 484 YDS / 4 TD / 44 YPG
Maverick Baranowski	LB	81 TKL / 8 TFL / 2 SACK
Devon Williams	LB	82 TKL / 5 TFL / 2.5 SACK
Anthony Smith	DL	31 TKL / 9 TFL / 10.5 SACK
Koi Perich	DB	73 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT

New Mexico 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jack Layne	QB	2,398 YDS (65.9%) / 13 TD / 9 INT 150 RUSH YDS / 4 RUSH TD / 12.5 RUSH YPG
Damon Bankston	RB	578 YDS / 5 TD / 48.2 YPG / 5.6 YPC 26 REC / 374 REC YDS / 3 REC TD / 31.2 REC YPG
DJ McKinney	RB	454 YDS / 7 TD / 37.8 YPG / 4.2 YPC 14 REC / 156 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 14.2 REC YPG
Keagan Johnson	WR	57 REC / 730 YDS / 3 TD / 66.4 YPG
Jaxton Eck	LB	108 TKL / 2 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Keyshawn James-Newby	DL	43 TKL / 10 TFL / 8 SACK
Brett Karhu	DL	20 TKL / 8 TFL / 7 SACK
Tavian Combs	DB	52 TKL / 0 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT