LSU vs. Florida Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 16, 2024

Updated Nov. 16, 2024 3:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Florida Gators (4-5) are 3-point underdogs in a home conference matchup with the No. 21 LSU Tigers (6-3) on Saturday, November 16, 2024 at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. The game has a 57-point over/under.

The Tigers lost to the Alabama Crimson Tide, 42-13, in their last contest. Last time around, the Gators fell to the Texas Longhorns, with 49-17 being the final score.

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LSU vs. Florida Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, November 16, 2024 at 3:30 p.m. ET
Location: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, Florida
TV: ABC
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

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LSU vs Florida Betting Information updated as of November 16, 2024, 2:49 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
LSU	-3 (-111)	-155	+129	57	-109	-111

LSU vs. Florida Prediction

Pick ATS: Florida (+3)
Pick OU: Under (57)
Prediction: LSU 29, Florida 26

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the LSU Tigers vs. the Florida Gators game on FOX Sports!

LSU vs. Florida Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Tigers 30, Gators 27.
The Tigers have a 60.8% chance to collect the win in this meeting based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Gators hold a 43.7% implied probability.
LSU has won three games against the spread this season, while failing to cover six times.
Florida has covered five times in nine games with a spread this season.

LSU vs. Florida: Head-to-Head

LSU has a 3-0 record against Florida in their last three matchups.
The Tigers carry a 3-0 record ATS in those games, while the two teams went over the total each time.
Over their last three head-to-head matchups, LSU has scored 146 points, while Florida has compiled 112.

LSU vs. Florida: 2024 Stats Comparison

	LSU	Florida
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	30.6 (58)	28.1 (78)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	24.9 (60)	27.6 (84)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	13 (62)	15 (89)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	12 (69)	13 (57)

LSU 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Garrett Nussmeier	QB	2,866 YDS (62.7%) / 21 TD / 11 INT 20 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 2.2 RUSH YPG
Caden Durham	RB	465 YDS / 6 TD / 51.7 YPG / 5.8 YPC 18 REC / 202 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 22.4 REC YPG
Kyren Lacy	WR	46 REC / 697 YDS / 7 TD / 77.4 YPG
Aaron Anderson	WR	39 REC / 641 YDS / 4 TD / 71.2 YPG
Bradyn Swinson	DL	37 TKL / 8 TFL / 8 SACK
Whit Weeks	LB	54 TKL / 4 TFL / 2.5 SACK / 1 INT
Greg Penn III	LB	56 TKL / 1 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Major Burns	DB	37 TKL / 3 TFL / 1.5 SACK

Florida 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jadan Baugh	RB	411 YDS / 6 TD / 45.7 YPG / 4.6 YPC
DJ Lagway	QB	1,071 YDS (60.9%) / 6 TD / 5 INT 114 RUSH YDS / 0 RUSH TD / 14.3 RUSH YPG
Elijhah Badger	WR	24 REC / 560 YDS / 2 TD / 70 YPG
Ja'Kobi Jackson	RB	343 YDS / 5 TD / 38.1 YPG / 5.8 YPC
Trikweze Bridges	DB	36 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Grayson Howard	LB	30 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK
Jack Pyburn	DL	36 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Tyreak Sapp	DL	20 TKL / 4 TFL / 3.5 SACK