Louisville vs. Toledo Prediction, Odds, Picks - December 23, 2025

Louisville vs. Toledo Prediction, Odds, Picks - December 23, 2025

Updated Dec. 23, 2025 9:04 a.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Louisville Cardinals play the Toledo Rockets in the Boca Raton Bowl as 8.5-point favorites on December 23, 2025 at 2 p.m. ET on ESPN. The contest's point total is 43.5.

The Cardinals' last game was against the Kentucky Wildcats, and they won by a score of 41-0. In their most recent contest, the Rockets won against the Central Michigan Chippewas, 21-3.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

Louisville vs. Toledo Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, December 23, 2025 at 2 p.m. ET
  • Location: Flagler Credit Union Stadium in Boca Raton, Florida
  • TV: ESPN
  • Streaming: FOX One + ESPN Bundle
Louisville vs Toledo Betting Information updated as of December 23, 2025, 8:45 a.m. ET.
Favorite Spread (Odds) Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Moneyline Under Moneyline
Louisville -8.5 (-110) -345 +274 43.5 -112 -108

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Louisville vs. Toledo Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Toledo (+8.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (43.5)
  • Prediction: Louisville 25, Toledo 21

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Louisville Cardinals vs. the Toledo Rockets game on FOX Sports!

Louisville vs. Toledo Betting Insights

  • Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Cardinals 26, Rockets 18.
  • The Cardinals have a 77.5% chance to claim victory in this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Rockets hold a 26.7% implied probability.
  • Louisville has covered four times in 12 games with a spread this season.
  • Toledo is 9-3-0 ATS this year.

Louisville vs. Toledo: 2025 Stats Comparison

Louisville Toledo
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 30.2 (51) 31.6 (43)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 21.1 (32) 12.2 (4)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 16 (71) 14 (48)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 19 (36) 20 (28)

Louisville 2025 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Miller Moss QB 2,526 YDS (64%) / 14 TD / 7 INT
-58 RUSH YDS / 9 RUSH TD / -5.3 RUSH YPG
Chris Bell WR 72 REC / 917 YDS / 6 TD / 83.4 YPG
Keyjuan Brown RB 592 YDS / 6 TD / 65.8 YPG / 7.3 YPC
11 REC / 118 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 14.8 REC YPG
Isaac Brown RB 782 YDS / 5 TD / 97.8 YPG / 8.6 YPC
11 REC / 42 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 10.5 REC YPG
TJ Quinn LB 73 TKL / 5 TFL / 3 SACK / 2 INT
Clev Lubin DL 40 TKL / 6 TFL / 6.5 SACK
Antonio Watts LB 37 TKL / 5 TFL / 2.5 SACK / 3 INT
D'Angelo Hutchinson DB 70 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD

Toledo 2025 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Tucker Gleason QB 2,515 YDS (64.7%) / 21 TD / 9 INT
144 RUSH YDS / 4 RUSH TD / 13.1 RUSH YPG
DeaMonte Trayanum RB 950 YDS / 11 TD / 95 YPG / 5.7 YPC
19 REC / 207 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 23 REC YPG
Junior Vandeross III WR 75 REC / 947 YDS / 11 TD / 78.9 YPG
Kenji Christian RB 501 YDS / 4 TD / 41.8 YPG / 5.1 YPC
15 REC / 181 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 20.1 REC YPG
K'Von Sherman LB 66 TKL / 13 TFL / 4.5 SACK
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren DB 62 TKL / 4 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 2 INT
Braden Awls DB 43 TKL / 4 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 5 INT
Malachi Davis DL 28 TKL / 8 TFL / 5.5 SACK

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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