
Louisville vs. Toledo Prediction, Odds, Picks - December 23, 2025
The Louisville Cardinals play the Toledo Rockets in the Boca Raton Bowl as 8.5-point favorites on December 23, 2025 at 2 p.m. ET on ESPN. The contest's point total is 43.5.
The Cardinals' last game was against the Kentucky Wildcats, and they won by a score of 41-0. In their most recent contest, the Rockets won against the Central Michigan Chippewas, 21-3.
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Louisville vs. Toledo Game Information & Odds
- When: Tuesday, December 23, 2025 at 2 p.m. ET
- Location: Flagler Credit Union Stadium in Boca Raton, Florida
- TV: ESPN
- Streaming: FOX One + ESPN Bundle
| Favorite | Spread (Odds) | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Moneyline | Under Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | -8.5 (-110) | -345 | +274 | 43.5 | -112 | -108 |
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Louisville vs. Toledo Prediction
- Pick ATS: Toledo (+8.5)
- Pick OU: Over (43.5)
- Prediction: Louisville 25, Toledo 21
Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.
Learn more about the Louisville Cardinals vs. the Toledo Rockets game on FOX Sports!
Louisville vs. Toledo Betting Insights
- Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Cardinals 26, Rockets 18.
- The Cardinals have a 77.5% chance to claim victory in this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Rockets hold a 26.7% implied probability.
- Louisville has covered four times in 12 games with a spread this season.
- Toledo is 9-3-0 ATS this year.
Louisville vs. Toledo: 2025 Stats Comparison
| Louisville | Toledo | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 30.2 (51) | 31.6 (43) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 21.1 (32) | 12.2 (4) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 16 (71) | 14 (48) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 19 (36) | 20 (28) |
Louisville 2025 Key Players
| Name | Position | Stats |
|---|---|---|
| Miller Moss | QB | 2,526 YDS (64%) / 14 TD / 7 INT -58 RUSH YDS / 9 RUSH TD / -5.3 RUSH YPG |
| Chris Bell | WR | 72 REC / 917 YDS / 6 TD / 83.4 YPG |
| Keyjuan Brown | RB | 592 YDS / 6 TD / 65.8 YPG / 7.3 YPC 11 REC / 118 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 14.8 REC YPG |
| Isaac Brown | RB | 782 YDS / 5 TD / 97.8 YPG / 8.6 YPC 11 REC / 42 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 10.5 REC YPG |
| TJ Quinn | LB | 73 TKL / 5 TFL / 3 SACK / 2 INT |
| Clev Lubin | DL | 40 TKL / 6 TFL / 6.5 SACK |
| Antonio Watts | LB | 37 TKL / 5 TFL / 2.5 SACK / 3 INT |
| D'Angelo Hutchinson | DB | 70 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD |
Toledo 2025 Key Players
| Name | Position | Stats |
|---|---|---|
| Tucker Gleason | QB | 2,515 YDS (64.7%) / 21 TD / 9 INT 144 RUSH YDS / 4 RUSH TD / 13.1 RUSH YPG |
| DeaMonte Trayanum | RB | 950 YDS / 11 TD / 95 YPG / 5.7 YPC 19 REC / 207 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 23 REC YPG |
| Junior Vandeross III | WR | 75 REC / 947 YDS / 11 TD / 78.9 YPG |
| Kenji Christian | RB | 501 YDS / 4 TD / 41.8 YPG / 5.1 YPC 15 REC / 181 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 20.1 REC YPG |
| K'Von Sherman | LB | 66 TKL / 13 TFL / 4.5 SACK |
| Emmanuel McNeil-Warren | DB | 62 TKL / 4 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 2 INT |
| Braden Awls | DB | 43 TKL / 4 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 5 INT |
| Malachi Davis | DL | 28 TKL / 8 TFL / 5.5 SACK |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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