Florida vs. Vanderbilt Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 7

Updated Oct. 7, 2023 3:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Vanderbilt Commodores (2-4) are 18-point underdogs in a road SEC matchup with the Florida Gators (3-2) on Saturday, October 7, 2023 at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. The over/under is 51 in this matchup.

Last time out, the Gators fell to the Kentucky Wildcats, with 33-14 being the final score. Last time around, the Commodores fell to the Missouri Tigers, with 38-21 being the final score.

Florida vs. Vanderbilt Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 7, 2023 at 4:00 PM ET
Location: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, Florida
TV: SEC Network
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Florida vs Vanderbilt Betting Information updated as of October 7, 2023, 2:46 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Florida	-18 (-110)	-1051	+663	51	-111	-109

Florida vs. Vanderbilt Prediction

Pick ATS: Vanderbilt (+18)
Pick OU: Over (51)
Prediction: Florida 35, Vanderbilt 17

Learn more about the Florida Gators vs. the Vanderbilt Commodores game on FOX Sports!

Florida vs. Vanderbilt Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Gators 34, Commodores 16.
The Gators have a 91.3% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Commodores have a 13.1% implied probability.
Florida has covered once in four chances against the spread this season.
Vanderbilt is winless against the spread this season (0-6-0).

Florida vs. Vanderbilt: Head-to-Head

Florida and Vanderbilt have been matched up evenly over their last two meetings, sharing the same 1-1 record.
The two teams have never hit the over on the total while sharing an even 1-1 record in their meetings against the spread.
In their last two head-to-head matchups, Florida has compiled 66 points versus Vanderbilt, while surrendering only 31 points.

Florida vs. Vanderbilt: 2023 Stats Comparison

	Florida	Vanderbilt
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	25.0 (91)	31.3 (17)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	17.4 (27)	33.3 (130)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	5 (27)	12 (126)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	1 (130)	9 (24)

Florida 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Graham Mertz	QB	1,195 YDS (79.0%) / 6 TD / 2 INT -26 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / -5.2 RUSH YPG
Montrell Johnson	RB	253 YDS / 3 TD / 50.6 YPG / 4.5 YPC 12 REC / 80 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 16.0 REC YPG
Trevor Etienne	RB	358 YDS / 2 TD / 71.6 YPG / 6.0 YPC 11 REC / 84 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 16.8 REC YPG
Ricky Pearsall	WR	29 REC / 424 YDS / 2 TD / 84.8 YPG
Scooby Williams	LB	24 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
Shemar James	LB	30 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
Jordan Castell	S	20 TKL / 2.0 TFL
Princely Umanmielen	DE	11 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK

Vanderbilt 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
AJ Swann	QB	1,251 YDS (53.2%) / 11 TD / 7 INT 23 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 3.8 RUSH YPG
Will Sheppard	WR	32 REC / 443 YDS / 7 TD / 73.8 YPG
London Humphreys	WR	12 REC / 299 YDS / 3 TD / 49.8 YPG
Jayden McGowan	WR	24 REC / 302 YDS / 0 TD / 50.3 YPG
CJ Taylor	LB	32 TKL / 6.0 TFL / 3.0 SACK
De'Rickey Wright	S	17 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Nate Clifton	DE	14 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK / 1 INT
Martel Hight	CB	21 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD