Boise State vs. Air Force Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 20, 2025

Updated Sep. 20, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Air Force Falcons (1-1) are 10.5-point underdogs in a home MWC matchup with the Boise State Broncos (1-1) on Saturday, September 20, 2025 at Falcon Stadium. The point total is set at 51.5 for the outing.

Facing the Eastern Washington Eagles in their most recent game, the Broncos won 51-14. The Falcons' last contest was versus the Utah State Aggies, and they lost by a score of 49-30.

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Boise State vs. Air Force Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
Location: Falcon Stadium in Colorado Springs, Colorado
TV: CBS Sports Network
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Boise State vs Air Force Betting Information updated as of September 20, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Boise State	-10.5 (-111)	-402	+312	51.5	-110	-110

Boise State vs. Air Force Prediction

Pick ATS: Air Force (+10.5)
Pick OU: Over (51.5)
Prediction: Boise State 31, Air Force 30

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Boise State Broncos vs. the Air Force Falcons game on FOX Sports!

Boise State vs. Air Force Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Broncos 31, Falcons 20.
The Broncos have an 80.1% chance to claim victory in this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Falcons hold a 24.3% implied probability.
Boise State has a record of 1-1-0 against the spread this season.
Air Force has covered once in two matchups with a spread this year.

Boise State vs. Air Force: Head-to-Head

Boise State has a 2-1 record against Air Force in their last three matchups.
The Broncos have a 2-1 record ATS in those games, while the two teams have gone over the total on one occasion.
Air Force has been outpaced by 6 points in its last three tilts against Boise State.

Boise State vs. Air Force: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Boise State	Air Force
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	29 (109)	39.5 (81)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	24 (42)	31 (67)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	3 (53)	3 (53)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	2 (96)	2 (96)

Boise State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Maddux Madsen	QB	532 YDS (56.9%) / 3 TD / 0 INT 66 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 33 RUSH YPG
Ben Ford	WR	7 REC / 126 YDS / 2 TD / 63 YPG
Chris Marshall	WR	6 REC / 151 YDS / 1 TD / 75.5 YPG
Sire Gaines	RB	142 YDS / 1 TD / 71 YPG / 6.2 YPC 4 REC / 28 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 14 REC YPG
Ty Benefield	DB	14 TKL / 3 TFL
Jaden Mickey	DB	7 TKL / 0 TFL
Jeremiah Earby	DB	11 TKL / 0 TFL / 0.5 SACK
Braxton Fely	DL	8 TKL / 0 TFL / 1.5 SACK

Air Force 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Cade Harris	WR	5 REC / 146 YDS / 1 TD / 73 YPG
Liam Szarka	QB	114 YDS (50%) / 0 TD / 1 INT 47 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 23.5 RUSH YPG
Dylan Carson	RB	105 YDS / 1 TD / 52.5 YPG / 5.5 YPC
Josh Johnson	QB	224 YDS (56.3%) / 2 TD / 1 INT 30 RUSH YDS / 0 RUSH TD / 15 RUSH YPG
Isaac Hubert	LB	6 TKL / 4 TFL / 3 SACK
Blake Fletcher	LB	21 TKL / 0 TFL
Jackson Adams	LB	5 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 SACK
Roger Jones Jr.	DB	12 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD