
Baylor vs. Texas State Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 2
Updated Sep. 2, 2023 3:05 p.m. ET
FOX Sports
The Texas State Bobcats (0-0) are facing tough odds as 27.5-point underdogs heading into their matchup on Saturday, September 2, 2023 against the Baylor Bears (0-0). The over/under is set at 59 points for the game.
The Bears scored 32.2 points per game (38th in college football) and conceded 26.8 (67th) last year, finishing 6-7 and losing the Armed Forces Bowl. The Bobcats scored 21.1 points per game (111th in college football) and allowed 26.3 (63rd) last year, going 4-8 and falling short of a bowl appearance.
Baylor vs. Texas State Game Information & Odds
- When: Saturday, September 2, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
- Location: McLane Stadium in Waco, Texas
- TV: ESPN+
- Live boxscore on FOX Sports
| Favorite | Spread (Odds) | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Moneyline | Under Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor | -27.5 (-110) | -4083 | +1480 | 59 | -110 | -110 |
Baylor vs. Texas State Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Texas State (+27.5)
- Pick OU: Under (59)
- Prediction: Baylor 40, Texas State 14
Learn more about the Baylor Bears vs. the Texas State Bobcats game on FOX Sports!
Baylor vs. Texas State Betting Insights
- Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Bears 43, Bobcats 16.
- The Bears have a 97.6% chance to collect the win in this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Bobcats hold a 6.3% implied probability.
- Baylor won seven games against the spread last season, failing to cover six times.
- Texas State went 5-7-0 ATS last year.
Baylor vs. Texas State: Head-to-Head
- Over their last two meetings, Baylor has put up two wins versus Texas State.
- The two teams have never hit the over on the point total while sharing an even 1-1 record in their meetings against the spread.
- Texas State has been outscored by 44 points in its last two tilts versus Baylor.
Baylor vs. Texas State: 2022 Stats Comparison
| Baylor | Texas State | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 32.2 (41) | 21.1 (114) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 26.8 (78) | 26.3 (52) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 17 (54) | 17 (54) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 19 (51) | 20 (42) |
Baylor 2022 Key Players
| Name | Position | Stats |
|---|---|---|
| Richard Reese | RB | 972 YDS / 14 TD / 74.8 YPG / 4.9 YPC |
| Blake Shapen | QB | 2,790 YDS (63.3%) / 18 TD / 10 INT 96 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 7.4 RUSH YPG |
| Qualan Jones | RB | 462 YDS / 7 TD / 35.5 YPG / 5.0 YPC 23 REC / 135 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 10.4 REC YPG |
| Monaray Baldwin | WR | 33 REC / 565 YDS / 4 TD / 43.5 YPG |
| Al Walcott | S | 66 TKL / 6.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK / 1 INT |
| Dillon Doyle | LB | 82 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD |
| Devin Lemear | S | 52 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD |
| Christian Morgan | S | 45 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK / 3 INT |
Texas State 2022 Key Players
| Name | Position | Stats |
|---|---|---|
| Layne Hatcher | QB | 2,654 YDS (61.9%) / 19 TD / 10 INT -151 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / -12.6 RUSH YPG |
| Lincoln Pare | RB | 760 YDS / 5 TD / 63.3 YPG / 4.4 YPC 29 REC / 229 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 19.1 REC YPG |
| Ashtyn Hawkins | WR | 55 REC / 582 YDS / 7 TD / 48.5 YPG |
| Javen Banks | WR | 19 REC / 271 YDS / 4 TD / 22.6 YPG |
| Sione Tupou | LB | 55 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1.5 SACK / 2 INT |
| Levi Bell | DT | 45 TKL / 10.0 TFL / 5.0 SACK |
| Tory Spears | S | 58 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT |
| Jordan Revels | OLB | 44 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 4.5 SACK |
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