Auburn vs. Mississippi State Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 28

Updated Oct. 28, 2023 3:06 p.m. ET

FOX Sports

SEC rivals square off when the Auburn Tigers (3-4) host the Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-3) on Saturday, October 28, 2023 at Jordan-Hare Stadium. Auburn is favored by 6.5 points. The over/under is set at 40.5 for the game.

Against the Ole Miss Rebels in their most recent contest, the Tigers lost 28-21. Last time out, the Bulldogs defeated the Arkansas Razorbacks, with 7-3 being the final score.

Auburn vs. Mississippi State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 28, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET
Location: Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn, Alabama
TV: SEC Network
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Auburn vs Mississippi State Betting Information updated as of October 28, 2023, 2:46 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Auburn	-6.5 (-112)	-242	+197	40.5	-112	-108

Auburn vs. Mississippi State Prediction

Pick ATS: Auburn (-6.5)
Pick OU: Over (40.5)
Prediction: Auburn 30, Mississippi State 21

Learn more about the Auburn Tigers vs. the Mississippi State Bulldogs game on FOX Sports!

Auburn vs. Mississippi State Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Tigers 24, Bulldogs 17.
The Tigers have a 70.8% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Bulldogs have a 33.7% implied probability.
Auburn has won two games against the spread this season.
Mississippi State has a record of 2-5-0 against the spread this season.

Auburn vs. Mississippi State: Head-to-Head

Mississippi State holds a 2-0 record against Auburn in their last two matchups.
In their past two meetings, each team has covered one time while both games hit the over on the total.
In their last two head-to-head matchups, Mississippi State has scored 82 points versus Auburn, while surrendering only 67 points.

Auburn vs. Mississippi State: 2023 Stats Comparison

	Auburn	Mississippi State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	26.7 (89)	26.9 (86)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	23.9 (49)	25.7 (60)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	10 (63)	8 (37)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	13 (20)	10 (62)

Auburn 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Payton Thorne	QB	845 YDS (61.5%) / 5 TD / 5 INT 259 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 37.0 RUSH YPG
Jarquez Hunter	RB	309 YDS / 5 TD / 44.1 YPG / 4.3 YPC
Robby Ashford	QB	145 YDS (53.8%) / 2 TD / 1 INT 180 RUSH YDS / 5 RUSH TD / 25.7 RUSH YPG
Jay Fair	WR	22 REC / 241 YDS / 2 TD / 34.4 YPG
Eugene Asante	LB	44 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 3.0 SACK
Marcus Harris	DL	22 TKL / 5.0 TFL / 4.0 SACK
Donovan Kaufman	S	23 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK / 1 INT
Jaylin Simpson	CB	17 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 4 INT / 4 PD

Mississippi State 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jo'Quavious Marks	RB	500 YDS / 4 TD / 71.4 YPG / 5.2 YPC 18 REC / 138 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 19.7 REC YPG
Will Rogers	QB	1,275 YDS (61.4%) / 10 TD / 4 INT
Lideatrick Griffin	WR	32 REC / 494 YDS / 3 TD / 70.6 YPG
Michael Wright	QB	146 YDS (69.6%) / 2 TD / 1 INT 198 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 28.3 RUSH YPG
Nathaniel Watson	LB	54 TKL / 6.0 TFL / 7.5 SACK / 1 INT
Jett Johnson	LB	60 TKL / 6.0 TFL / 4.0 SACK / 2 INT
Shawn Preston Jr.	S	22 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD
Corey Ellington	S	29 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK