Air Force vs. Navy Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 21

Updated Oct. 21, 2023 9:05 a.m. ET

FOX Sports

A pair of the nation's best running games meet when the No. 22 Air Force Falcons (6-0) take college football's first-ranked rushing offense into a matchup with the Navy Midshipmen (3-3), who have the No. 5 rushing offense, on Saturday, October 21, 2023. The Falcons are double-digit, 10-point favorites. The over/under is set at 33.5.

In their last game, the Falcons won versus the Wyoming Cowboys, 34-27. The Midshipmen beat the Charlotte 49ers, 14-0, in their last contest.

Air Force vs. Navy Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET
Location: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, Maryland
TV: CBS
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Air Force vs Navy Betting Information updated as of October 21, 2023, 8:45 AM ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Air Force	-10 (-109)	-384	+298	33.5	-110	-110

Air Force vs. Navy Prediction

Pick ATS: Air Force (-10)
Pick OU: Over (33.5)
Prediction: Air Force 35, Navy 15

Learn more about the Air Force Falcons vs. the Navy Midshipmen game on FOX Sports!

Air Force vs. Navy Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Falcons 22, Midshipmen 12.
The Falcons have a 79.3% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Midshipmen hold a 25.1% implied probability.
Air Force is 3-1-0 ATS this season.
Navy has covered twice in five matchups with a spread this season.

Air Force vs. Navy: Head-to-Head

In their last two head-to-head meetings, Air Force has won against Navy two times.
The Falcons and the Midshipmen have matched up evenly over their last two head-to-head meetings, sporting an even 1-1 record against the spread. In those two head-to-head matchups, the two squads have never gone over the point total.
Over their last two head-to-head contests, Air Force has put up 36 points, while Navy has accumulated 13.

Air Force vs. Navy: 2023 Stats Comparison

	Air Force	Navy
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	37.0 (34)	20.3 (122)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	14.7 (7)	23.0 (36)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	4 (8)	3 (2)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	6 (109)	12 (20)

Air Force 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Zachary Larrier	QB	468 YDS (71.4%) / 4 TD / 0 INT 473 RUSH YDS / 4 RUSH TD / 78.8 RUSH YPG
Emmanuel Michel	FB	468 YDS (71.4%) / 4 TD / 0 INT 473 RUSH YDS / 4 RUSH TD / 78.8 RUSH YPG
John Lee Eldridge III	RB	340 YDS / 4 TD / 56.7 YPG / 9.7 YPC 2 REC / 31 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 5.2 REC YPG
Owen Burk	RB	304 YDS / 3 TD / 50.7 YPG / 6.3 YPC
Alec Mock	LB	34 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK
Bo Richter	LB	13 TKL / 7.0 TFL / 4.0 SACK
Trey Taylor	FS	28 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 2 INT
PJ Ramsey	OLB	10 TKL / 5.0 TFL / 4.5 SACK

Navy 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Alex Tecza	FB	10 TKL / 5.0 TFL / 4.5 SACK
Tai Lavatai	QB	426 YDS (51.9%) / 3 TD / 0 INT 163 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 27.2 RUSH YPG
Eli Heidenreich	RB	99 YDS / 1 TD / 16.5 YPG / 9.0 YPC 4 REC / 156 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 26.0 REC YPG
Dabe Fofana	FB	99 YDS / 1 TD / 16.5 YPG / 9.0 YPC 4 REC / 156 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 26.0 REC YPG
Will Harbour	LB	46 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 3.0 SACK
Xavier McDonald	LB	25 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 3.0 SACK
Rayuan Lane	FS	29 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 3 INT
Colin Ramos	LB	44 TKL / 1.0 TFL