Xavier vs. Texas Prediction, Odds, Picks - NCAA Tournament First Four

Updated Mar. 19, 2025 8:29 p.m. ET

FOX Sports

The Texas Longhorns (19-15) are aiming to claim a spot in the Round of 64 in the NCAA Tournament bracket in their First Four matchup with the Xavier Musketeers (21-11) on Wednesday at UD Arena, starting at 9:10 p.m. ET.

The Musketeers enter their game as a 2.5-point favorite against the Longhorns. The matchup features a point total of 152.5.

Continue scrolling to get all you need to know ahead of wagering on the Xavier-Texas contest.

Xavier vs. Texas Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, March 19, 2025 at 9:10 p.m. ET
Where: UD Arena in Dayton, Ohio
How to watch on TV: truTV
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Musketeers vs Longhorns Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Musketeers	-2.5	-112	-108	152.5	-110	-120	-148	+124

Xavier vs. Texas Prediction

Pick ATS: Texas (+2.5)
Pick OU: Under (152.5)
Prediction: Xavier 76, Texas 74

Learn more about the Xavier Musketeers vs. the Texas Longhorns game on FOX Sports!

Xavier vs. Texas Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Musketeers 78, Longhorns 75.
The Musketeers have a 59.7% chance to win this meeting per the moneyline's implied probability.
The Longhorns hold a 44.6% implied probability to win.

Key Spread Facts

Xavier has won 18 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 14 times.
Texas has won 16 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 17 times.
When playing as at least 2.5-point favorites this season, Xavier has an ATS record of 11-7.
Texas has an ATS record of 7-5 when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs this year.

Key Total Facts

The Musketeers games have had more than 152.5 points scored on 10 occasions this season.
Longhorns games have gone over 152.5 points on 13 occasions this year.
The Musketeers and Longhorns combine to average 156.4 points per contest, which is 3.9 more than the total for this game.

Key Moneyline Facts

Xavier has won all 19 games when the moneyline favorite this season.
This season, Texas has been the underdog 12 times and won four, or 33.3%, of those games.
Xavier has won all 17 games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -148 or shorter.
Texas has a record of 2-7, a 22.2% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by +124 or more by bookmakers this season.

Xavier vs. Texas: 2024-25 Stats Comparison

	Xavier	Texas
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	78 (77)	78.4 (69)
Points Allowed (Rank)	70.9 (145)	72.2 (193)
Rebounds (Rank)	6.2 (346)	9.1 (159)
3pt Made (Rank)	8.3 (108)	7.5 (196)
Assists (Rank)	16.9 (16)	13 (221)
Turnovers (Rank)	10.6 (129)	9.5 (34)

Xavier 2024-25 Key Players

Musketeers Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Zach Freemantle	29	17.3	7.1	2.1	1	0.8	1
Ryan Conwell	32	16.8	2.8	2.5	1.3	0.2	3
Dailyn Swain	32	10.5	5.4	2.6	1.5	0.6	0.1
Dayvion McKnight	32	9.6	2.6	4.3	1.4	0.2	0.6
Marcus Foster	32	7.6	4.8	2	1	0.2	1.3

Texas 2024-25 Key Players

Longhorns Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Tre Johnson	32	19.8	3	2.8	1	0.3	2.7
Arthur Kaluma	32	12.4	7.6	1.8	0.9	0.9	1
Jordan Pope	34	11.2	2	1.7	1	0	1.7
Tramon Mark	28	10.4	3.6	1.6	0.9	0.5	1.2
Kadin Shedrick	34	8.7	6.1	0.6	0.7	1.6	0.2