Oregon vs. Liberty Prediction, Odds, Picks - NCAA Tournament First Round

Updated Mar. 21, 2025 8:28 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 5 seed Oregon Ducks (24-9) and the No. 12 seed Liberty Flames (28-6) will meet on Friday at 10:10 p.m. ET in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. The matchup airs on truTV.

The Ducks are a 6.5-point favorite against the Flames when the Ducks and the Flames meet. The over/under for the matchup is 137.5.

Continue reading to get everything you need to know ahead of wagering on the Oregon-Liberty matchup.

Oregon vs. Liberty Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, March 21, 2025 at 10:10 p.m. ET
Where: Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, Washington
How to watch on TV: truTV
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Ducks vs Flames Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Ducks	-6.5	-115	-105	137.5	-110	-110	-298	+240

Oregon vs. Liberty Prediction

Pick ATS: Liberty (+6.5)
Pick OU: Over (137.5)
Prediction: Oregon 74, Liberty 70

Learn more about the Oregon Ducks vs. the Liberty Flames game on FOX Sports!

Oregon vs. Liberty Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Ducks 72, Flames 66.
The Ducks have a 74.9% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.
The Flames have a 29.4% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

Oregon has compiled a 15-17-0 ATS record so far this year.
Liberty has won 20 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 11 times.
Oregon has covered the spread six times this season (6-7 ATS) when playing as at least 6.5-point favorites.

Key Total Facts

Ducks games have finished with more than 137.5 points 24 times so far this year.
Flames games have finished with over 137.5 points scored 18 times this year.
The Ducks and Flames combine to average 152.8 points per contest, which is 15.3 more than the total for this game.

Key Moneyline Facts

Oregon has won 19 of 24 games when favored on the moneyline this season (79.2%).
This season, Liberty has been listed as the underdog in five games but won them all.
Oregon has a record of 12-1 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -298 or shorter (winning 92.3%).
Liberty has not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +240.

Oregon vs. Liberty: 2024-25 Stats Comparison

	Oregon	Liberty
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	76.2 (111)	76.6 (103)
Points Allowed (Rank)	70.9 (144)	62.9 (8)
Rebounds (Rank)	8.2 (237)	5.6 (358)
3pt Made (Rank)	7.7 (173)	10.6 (11)
Assists (Rank)	14.6 (101)	16.8 (21)
Turnovers (Rank)	10.5 (117)	9.4 (30)

Oregon 2024-25 Key Players

Ducks Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Nathan Bittle	33	14.1	7.4	1.9	0.8	2.2	1
Jackson Shelstad	33	13.2	2.9	2.7	1	0	1.8
TJ Bamba	33	10.4	3.5	2.9	1.7	0.2	0.7
Keeshawn Barthelemy	33	10.1	2.4	2.6	1.1	0.2	1.8
Brandon Angel	33	8.5	3.9	1.1	0.5	0.3	0.7

Liberty 2024-25 Key Players

Flames Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Taelon Peter	34	13.9	4.1	1.1	0.9	0.1	2.2
Kaden Metheny	33	13.5	2.9	2	0.8	0	3
Zach Cleveland	31	10.9	6.3	5	0.7	1	0.1
Isaiah Ihnen	11	10.4	4.3	0.5	0.9	0.3	1.3
Colin Porter	34	9.3	2.1	4.3	1.6	0	1.6