North Carolina vs. NC State Prediction, Odds, Picks - ACC Tournament Championship

Updated Mar. 16, 2024 8:27 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The top-seeded North Carolina Tar Heels (27-6, 17-3 ACC) will play the No. 10 seed NC State Wolfpack (21-14, 9-11 ACC) in the ACC championship game with an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament up for grabs. The matchup on Saturday at Capital One Arena starts at 8:30 PM ET.

The Tar Heels are a 10-point favorite against the Wolfpack when the Tar Heels and the Wolfpack meet. The game features a point total of 145.

Continue scrolling to get the download before placing bets on the North Carolina-NC State clash.

North Carolina vs. NC State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, March 16, 2024 at 8:30 PM ET
Where: Capital One Arena in Washington D.C.
How to Watch on TV: ESPN
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Tar Heels vs Wolfpack Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Tar Heels	-10	-112	-108	145	-110	-110	-535	+400

North Carolina vs. NC State Prediction

Pick ATS: NC State (+10)
Pick OU: Over (145)
Prediction: North Carolina 79, NC State 71

Learn more about the North Carolina Tar Heels vs. the NC State Wolfpack game on FOX Sports!

North Carolina vs. NC State Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Tar Heels 78, Wolfpack 68.
The Tar Heels have an 84.3% chance to win this matchup per the moneyline's implied probability.
The Wolfpack have a 20.0% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

North Carolina is 19-14-0 ATS this season.
NC State has covered 16 times in 35 matchups with a spread this year.
North Carolina has been favored by 10 points or more 13 times this season, and covered the spread in seven of those contests.
NC State has been an underdog by 10 points or more two times this year, and covered the spread both times.

Key Total Facts

In 24 games this season, the Tar Heels and their opponent have combined for more than 145 points.
There have been 22 Wolfpack games this year with more than 145 points scored.
The total for this matchup is 145 points, 12.7 fewer than the combined scoring average of the two teams.

Key Moneyline Facts

North Carolina has won 84% of its games this season when favored on the moneyline (21-4).
NC State has entered the game as underdogs 14 times this season and won five, or 35.7%, of those games.
North Carolina has won all 10 games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -535 or shorter.
This season, NC State has won five of its six games when it is the underdog by at least +400 on the moneyline.

North Carolina vs. NC State: Recent Results

Tar Heels vs Wolfpack Recent Games
Date	Favorite	Spread	Total	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Result
3/2/2024	Tar Heels	-11	156	-675	+490	79-70 NCAR
1/10/2024	Tar Heels	-3	153.5	-155	+130	67-54 NCAR
2/19/2023	Wolfpack	-2	155.5	-140	+120	77-69 NCST
1/21/2023	Tar Heels	-6.5	153	-280	+235	80-69 NCAR

North Carolina vs. NC State: 2023-24 Stats Comparison

	North Carolina	NC State
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	81.6 (23)	76.1 (105)
Points Allowed (Rank)	69.8 (108)	72.6 (206)
Rebounds (Rank)	10.6 (41)	9.3 (122)
3pt Made (Rank)	7.9 (130)	7.1 (220)
Assists (Rank)	14.4 (100)	12.7 (215)
Turnovers (Rank)	9.9 (63)	9.2 (21)

North Carolina 2023-24 Key Players

Tar Heels Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
RJ Davis	33	21.1	3.7	3.5	1.2	0.2	3.1
Armando Bacot	33	14	10.1	1.6	0.5	1.5	0.1
Ingram Harrison	33	12.2	9.2	2.2	1.4	0.4	1.6
Cormac Ryan	32	11.3	2.9	1.3	0.7	0.4	2
Elliot Cadeau	33	7.7	2.2	4	0.8	0.1	0.2