Michigan State vs. Wisconsin Prediction, Odds, Picks - Big Ten Tournament

Updated Mar. 15, 2025 10:27 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The top-seeded Michigan State Spartans (27-5, 17-3 Big Ten) are taking on the No. 5 seed Wisconsin Badgers (25-8, 13-7 Big Ten) in the Big Ten tournament on Saturday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, at 1 p.m. ET airing on CBS.

The Spartans head into their game as a 2.5-point favorite against the Badgers. The point total for the game is 145.5.

Continue scrolling to get the details ahead of placing bets on the Michigan State-Wisconsin matchup.

Michigan State vs. Wisconsin Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, March 15, 2025 at 1 p.m. ET
Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana
How to watch on TV: CBS
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Spartans vs Badgers Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Spartans	-2.5	-125	-105	145.5	-110	-110	-155	+130

Michigan State vs. Wisconsin Prediction

Pick ATS: Wisconsin (+2.5)
Pick OU: Over (145.5)
Prediction: Michigan State 75, Wisconsin 73

Learn more about the Michigan State Spartans vs. the Wisconsin Badgers game on FOX Sports!

Michigan State vs. Wisconsin Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Spartans 74, Badgers 72.
The Spartans have a 60.8% chance to win this meeting based on the moneyline's implied probability.
The Badgers have a 43.5% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

Michigan State is 21-10-1 ATS this season.
Wisconsin has won 20 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 12 times.
Michigan State has covered the spread 15 times this season (15-9 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
When playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs this year, Wisconsin has an ATS record of 5-3.

Key Total Facts

The Spartans and their opponent have broken the 145.5-point mark 13 times this season.
So far this year, 18 Badgers games have featured over 145.5 points scored.
The total for this matchup is 145.5 points, 13.4 fewer than the combined scoring average of the two teams.

Key Moneyline Facts

Michigan State has a 22-3 record in games when it was listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 88% of those games).
Wisconsin has been underdogs in nine games this season and won four (44.4%) of those contests.
When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -155 or shorter, Michigan State has a record of 21-2 (91.3% win percentage).
Wisconsin has a record of 2-5 when it is set as the underdog by +130 or more by sportsbooks this season.

Michigan State vs. Wisconsin: Recent Results

Spartans vs Badgers Recent Games
Date	Favorite	Spread	Total	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Result
3/2/2025	Spartans	-4.5	146.5	-205	+170	71-62 MST
1/26/2024	Badgers	-2.5	135.5	-148	+124	81-66 WISC
12/5/2023	Spartans	-5	131.5	-218	+180	70-57 WISC

Michigan State vs. Wisconsin: 2024-25 Stats Comparison

	Michigan State	Wisconsin
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	78.3 (73)	80.6 (36)
Points Allowed (Rank)	66.9 (43)	70.7 (138)
Rebounds (Rank)	10.4 (62)	7.5 (290)
3pt Made (Rank)	5.9 (337)	10.0 (26)
Assists (Rank)	16.9 (17)	14.8 (94)
Turnovers (Rank)	10.9 (150)	9.5 (32)

Michigan State 2024-25 Key Players

Spartans Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Jaden Akins	32	12.9	3.7	1.6	0.8	0.3	1.5
Jase Richardson	31	11.7	3.1	2.0	0.8	0.3	1.2
Tre Holloman	32	9.0	2.0	3.8	0.8	0.3	1.3
Jaxon Kohler	32	8.0	7.7	1.3	0.4	0.8	0.5
Coen Carr	32	7.7	3.4	0.5	0.6	0.7	0.1

Wisconsin 2024-25 Key Players

Badgers Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
John Tonje	33	19.1	5.2	1.8	0.8	0.2	2.3
John Blackwell	33	15.5	5.2	2.2	0.8	0.1	1.6
Steven Crowl	33	9.9	5.3	2.5	0.5	0.5	0.8
Nolan Winter	33	9.7	6.0	1.1	0.4	0.4	0.9
Max Klesmit	29	9.5	2.4	2.7	0.9	0.1	1.6