Michigan State vs. Toledo Prediction, How to Watch, Odds, Channel - Dec 16

Updated Dec. 16, 2025 5:27 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 9 Michigan State Spartans (9-1) play the Toledo Rockets (5-5) on Tuesday, December 16, 2025 at 6:30 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on Peacock.

The Spartans are an overwhelming favorite against the Rockets when the Spartans and the Rockets square off. The Spartans are favored by 22.5 points. The matchup's over/under is set at 150.5.

Keep scrolling to get all the information ahead of placing bets on the Michigan State-Toledo contest.

Michigan State vs. Toledo How to Watch & Odds

When: Tuesday, December 16, 2025 at 6:30 p.m. ET
Where: Jack Breslin Students Events Center in East Lansing, Michigan
TV: Peacock
Live Box Score: FOX Sports

Spartans vs Rockets Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Spartans	-22.5	-123	-105	150.5	-110	-110	-9091	+2300

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Michigan State vs. Toledo Prediction

Pick ATS: Toledo (+22.5)
Pick OU: Under (150.5)
Prediction: Michigan State 85, Toledo 65

Learn more about the Michigan State Spartans vs. the Toledo Rockets game on FOX Sports!

Michigan State vs. Toledo Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the encounter is Spartans 86, Rockets 64.
The Spartans have a 98.9% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.
The Rockets have a 4.2% implied probability to win.

Key Spread Facts

Michigan State has won five games against the spread this season, while failing to cover five times.
Toledo is 4-5-0 ATS this season.
Michigan State has not covered the spread when favored by 22.5 points or more this season (in three opportunities).

Key Total Facts

Not once this year have the Spartans and their opponent combined for more than 150.5 points.
Rockets games have had over 150.5 points six times this year.
The Spartans and Rockets combine to average 159.1 points per contest, which is 8.6 more than the total for this game.

Key Moneyline Facts

Michigan State has not lost as the moneyline favorite this season, going 8-0.
Toledo has entered the game as underdogs four times this season and won twice.
Michigan State has played as a moneyline favorite of -9091 or shorter in just one game this season, and won.
Toledo has not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +2300.

Michigan State vs. Toledo: 2025-26 Stats Comparison

	Michigan State	Toledo
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	76.5 (203)	82.6 (90)
Points Allowed (Rank)	62.1 (11)	77.6 (274)
Rebounds (Rank)	12.1 (33)	10.4 (127)
3pt Made (Rank)	7.1 (259)	6.9 (268)
Assists (Rank)	18.6 (26)	15.8 (110)
Turnovers (Rank)	11.2 (140)	11.2 (140)

Michigan State 2025-26 Key Players

Spartans Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Jaxon Kohler	10	13.8	9.8	1.4	0.7	1.1	1.6
Jeremy Fears Jr.	10	11.2	3.3	9.6	1.5	0	0.8
Carson Cooper	10	10.3	6.8	1.2	0.7	0.8	0
Coen Carr	10	10.3	4.9	1.7	0.9	0.9	0.4
Cam Ward	9	7.2	4.2	0.3	0.3	0.1	0

Toledo 2025-26 Key Players

Rockets Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Sonny Wilson	10	15.9	3.1	3.5	1.3	0.1	1.1
Leroy Blyden Jr.	10	13.9	2.7	4.5	2.2	0.4	2.1
Sean Craig	10	13.8	7.9	1.6	0.4	0.3	0.8
Austin Parks	10	12	5.3	1.4	0.8	0.9	0.1
Kyler Vanderjagt	10	11.4	2.7	1.3	1.5	0.1	1.6