Michigan State vs. Toledo Prediction, How to Watch, Odds, Channel - Dec 16

Updated Dec. 16, 2025 8:27 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 9 Michigan State Spartans (9-1) face the Toledo Rockets (5-5) on Tuesday, December 16, 2025 at 6:30 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on Peacock.

The Spartans enter their game against the Rockets as huge favorites. The Spartans are favored by 22.5 points. The game features an over/under of 150.5.

Keep reading to get the download before wagering on the Michigan State-Toledo matchup.

Michigan State vs. Toledo How to Watch & Odds

When: Tuesday, December 16, 2025 at 6:30 p.m. ET
Where: Jack Breslin Students Events Center in East Lansing, Michigan
TV: Peacock
Live Box Score: FOX Sports

Spartans vs Rockets Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Spartans	-22.5	-117	-104	150.5	-115	-105	-7692	+2033

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Michigan State vs. Toledo Prediction

Pick ATS: Toledo (+22.5)
Pick OU: Under (150.5)
Prediction: Michigan State 85, Toledo 65

Learn more about the Michigan State Spartans vs. the Toledo Rockets game on FOX Sports!

Michigan State vs. Toledo Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Spartans 86, Rockets 64.
The Spartans have a 98.7% chance to win this game per the moneyline's implied probability.
The Rockets have a 4.7% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

Michigan State has put together a 5-5-0 ATS record so far this year.
Toledo has compiled a 4-5-0 ATS record so far this year.
Michigan State has been favored by 22.5 points or more this season three times and failed to cover in all three.

Key Total Facts

The Spartans and their opponent have not scored more than 150.5 points combined in a game this year.
Rockets games have had over 150.5 points six times this season.
These teams score 159.1 points per game combined, higher than the over/under for this matchup by 8.6.

Key Moneyline Facts

Michigan State has won all eight games when favored on the moneyline this season.
Toledo has been underdogs in four games this season and won two (50%) of those contests.
Michigan State has won all three games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -7692 or shorter.
Toledo has not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +2033.

Michigan State vs. Toledo: 2025-26 Stats Comparison

	Michigan State	Toledo
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	76.5 (203)	82.6 (90)
Points Allowed (Rank)	62.1 (11)	77.6 (274)
Rebounds (Rank)	12.1 (33)	10.4 (127)
3pt Made (Rank)	7.1 (259)	6.9 (268)
Assists (Rank)	18.6 (26)	15.8 (110)
Turnovers (Rank)	11.2 (140)	11.2 (140)

Michigan State 2025-26 Key Players

Spartans Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Jaxon Kohler	10	13.8	9.8	1.4	0.7	1.1	1.6
Jeremy Fears Jr.	10	11.2	3.3	9.6	1.5	0	0.8
Carson Cooper	10	10.3	6.8	1.2	0.7	0.8	0
Coen Carr	10	10.3	4.9	1.7	0.9	0.9	0.4
Cam Ward	9	7.2	4.2	0.3	0.3	0.1	0

Toledo 2025-26 Key Players

Rockets Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Sonny Wilson	10	15.9	3.1	3.5	1.3	0.1	1.1
Leroy Blyden Jr.	10	13.9	2.7	4.5	2.2	0.4	2.1
Sean Craig	10	13.8	7.9	1.6	0.4	0.3	0.8
Austin Parks	10	12	5.3	1.4	0.8	0.9	0.1
Kyler Vanderjagt	10	11.4	2.7	1.3	1.5	0.1	1.6