Marquette vs. New Mexico Prediction, Odds, Picks - NCAA Tournament First Round

Updated Mar. 21, 2025 3:27 p.m. ET

FOX Sports

The No. 7 Marquette Golden Eagles (23-10) and the No. 10 New Mexico Lobos (26-7) battle on Friday for a place in the second round of the NCAA Tournament. The first-round matchup begins at 7:25 p.m. ET.

The Golden Eagles enter their matchup against the Lobos as a 4.5-point favorite. The game's point total is set at 152.5.

Keep reading to get the details ahead of wagering on the Marquette-New Mexico clash.

Marquette vs. New Mexico Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, March 21, 2025 at 7:25 p.m. ET
Where: Rocket Arena in Cleveland, Ohio
How to watch on TV: TBS
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Golden Eagles vs Lobos Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Golden Eagles	-4.5	-105	-115	152.5	-112	-108	-180	+150

Marquette vs. New Mexico Prediction

Pick ATS: New Mexico (+4.5)
Pick OU: Under (152.5)
Prediction: Marquette 75, New Mexico 74

Learn more about the Marquette Golden Eagles vs. the New Mexico Lobos game on FOX Sports!

Marquette vs. New Mexico Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Golden Eagles 78, Lobos 74.
The Golden Eagles have a 64.3% chance to claim victory in this meeting per the moneyline's implied probability.
The Lobos have a 40.0% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

Marquette has covered 14 times in 33 games with a spread this season.
New Mexico has compiled a 15-17-0 ATS record so far this year.
Marquette has covered the spread 13 times this season (13-9-1 ATS) when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites.
New Mexico has not covered the spread this season (0-2 ATS) when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs.

Key Total Facts

The Golden Eagles games have had more than 152.5 points scored on eight occasions this year.
There have been 14 Lobos games this season with more than 152.5 points scored.
The over/under for this game is 152.5 points, 5.6 fewer than the scoring average of the two teams combined.

Key Moneyline Facts

Marquette has won 22 of 26 games when favored on the moneyline this season (84.6%).
This season, New Mexico has won three out of the six games in which it has been the underdog.
Marquette has a record of 21-2 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -180 or shorter (winning 91.3%).
New Mexico has a record of 2-2 when it is set as the underdog by +150 or more by bookmakers this season.

Marquette vs. New Mexico: 2024-25 Stats Comparison

	Marquette	New Mexico
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	76.9 (94)	81.2 (26)
Points Allowed (Rank)	68.5 (71)	70.8 (142)
Rebounds (Rank)	9.2 (149)	10 (83)
3pt Made (Rank)	9.4 (46)	7.1 (246)
Assists (Rank)	13.8 (158)	15.2 (71)
Turnovers (Rank)	8.9 (9)	11 (163)

Marquette 2024-25 Key Players

Golden Eagles Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Kam Jones	33	19.3	4.5	5.9	1.4	0.2	1.9
David Joplin	33	13.8	5.5	1.3	1.1	0.9	2
Stevie Mitchell	33	10.9	4.1	1.5	2.3	0.1	0.9
Chase Ross	33	10.7	3.9	2.1	1.8	0.7	1.1
Ben Gold	33	7.3	4.2	0.9	0.4	0.8	1.5

New Mexico 2024-25 Key Players

Lobos Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Donovan Dent	33	20.6	2.3	6.4	1.5	0.8	0.8
Nelly Junior Joseph	33	14	11.2	1.2	1.3	1.5	0
Mustapha Amzil	30	11.3	5.4	1.4	0.8	0.7	1.3
Tru Washington	32	11.2	3.9	2	2.1	0.3	1.3
C.J. Noland	32	8	2.5	1.2	1.1	0.3	1