Duke vs. NC State Prediction, Odds, Picks - NCAA Tournament Elite Eight

Updated Mar. 31, 2024 8:27 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 4 seed Duke Blue Devils (27-8, 15-5 ACC) will take on the No. 11 seed NC State Wolfpack (25-14, 9-11 ACC) in the NCAA Tournament Elite Eight on Sunday at American Airlines Center, airing on CBS starting at 5:05 PM ET.

The Blue Devils enter their matchup against the Wolfpack as a 7-point favorite. The game features an over/under of 142.

Keep scrolling to get everything you need to know ahead of placing bets on the Duke-NC State contest.

Duke vs. NC State Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, March 31, 2024 at 5:05 PM ET
Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
How to Watch on TV: CBS
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Blue Devils vs Wolfpack Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Blue Devils	-7	-110	-110	142	-108	-112	-305	+245

Duke vs. NC State Prediction

Pick ATS: Duke (-7)
Pick OU: Over (142)
Prediction: Duke 78, NC State 69

Learn more about the Duke Blue Devils vs. the NC State Wolfpack game on FOX Sports!

Duke vs. NC State Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Blue Devils 74, Wolfpack 68.
The Blue Devils have a 75.3% chance to win this game per the moneyline's implied probability.
The Wolfpack sit with a 29.0% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

Duke has compiled a 20-12-1 record against the spread this season.
NC State has compiled a 16-19-2 record against the spread this year.
When playing as at least 7-point favorites this season, Duke has an ATS record of 13-8-1.
NC State has covered the spread when playing as at least 7-point underdogs in six of six opportunities this year.

Key Total Facts

A total of 25 times so far this season, the Blue Devils and their opponent have combined to score more than 142 points.
Wolfpack games have had over 142 points 27 times this season.
These two teams score a combined average of 155.3 points per game, higher than the total for this matchup by 13.3 points.

Key Moneyline Facts

Duke has compiled a 19-6 record in games when it was favored on the moneyline (winning 76% of those games).
This season, NC State has won eight out of the 17 games, or 47.1%, in which it has been the underdog.
When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -305 or shorter, Duke has a record of 13-3 (81.2% win percentage).
This season, NC State has won four of its six games when it is the underdog by at least +245 on the moneyline.

Duke vs. NC State: Recent Results

Blue Devils vs Wolfpack Recent Games
Date	Favorite	Spread	Total	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Result
3/14/2024	Blue Devils	-11	146	-700	+500	74-69 NCST
3/4/2024	Blue Devils	-6.5	150	-278	+225	79-64 DUKE
2/28/2023	Blue Devils	-6.5	145	-275	+230	71-67 DUKE
1/4/2023	Blue Devils	-5	144.5	-200	+170	84-60 NCST

Duke vs. NC State: 2023-24 Stats Comparison

	Duke	NC State
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	79 (50)	76.3 (98)
Points Allowed (Rank)	66 (26)	72.2 (190)
Rebounds (Rank)	9 (140)	9 (140)
3pt Made (Rank)	8.4 (79)	7.1 (219)
Assists (Rank)	15.4 (47)	13 (181)
Turnovers (Rank)	9.3 (26)	9.3 (26)

Duke 2023-24 Key Players

Blue Devils Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Kyle Filipowski	35	16.6	8.2	2.8	1.2	1.5	1.1
Jeremy Roach	34	14	2.5	3.1	1.1	0.1	1.6
Jared McCain	35	13.8	5	1.9	1.1	0.1	2.3
Mark Mitchell	32	11.8	6	1.1	0.8	0.7	0.3
Tyrese Proctor	31	10.8	3	3.8	0.7	0.1	1.9