Mississippi State vs. Toledo Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 14, 2024

Updated Sep. 14, 2024 3:04 p.m. ET

FOX Sports

The Toledo Rockets (2-0) are double-digit, 10.5-point underdogs heading into their matchup on Saturday, September 14, 2024 against the Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-1). The over/under is 57.5 for this game.

The Bulldogs lost to the Arizona State Sun Devils, 30-23, in their last game. The Rockets beat the UMass Minutemen, 38-23, in their most recent contest.

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Mississippi State vs. Toledo Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 14, 2024 at 7:30 p.m. ET
Location: Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field in Starkville, Mississippi
TV: ESPNU
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Mississippi State vs Toledo Betting Information updated as of September 14, 2024, 2:48 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Mississippi State	-10.5 (-110)	-397	+306	57.5	-110	-110

Mississippi State vs. Toledo Prediction

Pick ATS: Toledo (+10.5)
Pick OU: Under (57.5)
Prediction: Mississippi State 31, Toledo 26

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. the Toledo Rockets game on FOX Sports!

Mississippi State vs. Toledo Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Bulldogs 34, Rockets 24.
The Bulldogs have a 79.9% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Rockets have a 24.6% implied probability.
Mississippi State has won one game against the spread this season.
Toledo has a record of 1-1-0 against the spread this year.

Mississippi State vs. Toledo: 2024 Stats Comparison

	Mississippi State	Toledo
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	39.5 (37)	43.5 (23)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	18.5 (60)	16.5 (51)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	1 (11)	0 (1)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	1 (99)	4 (21)

Mississippi State 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Blake Shapen	QB	515 YDS (68.8%) / 5 TD / 0 INT 22 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 11 RUSH YPG
Kevin Coleman Jr.	WR	9 REC / 191 YDS / 2 TD / 95.5 YPG
Jordan Mosley	WR	9 REC / 162 YDS / 1 TD / 81 YPG
Mario Craver	WR	3 REC / 76 YDS / 1 TD / 38 YPG
Isaac Smith	DB	17 TKL / 0 TFL
Branden Jennings	LB	7 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK
Kalvin Dinkins	DL	2 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK
Zakari Tillman	LB	6 TKL / 0 TFL

Toledo 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Tucker Gleason	QB	377 YDS (48.9%) / 6 TD / 0 INT 50 RUSH YDS / 0 RUSH TD / 25 RUSH YPG
Junior Vandeross III	WR	7 REC / 152 YDS / 2 TD / 76 YPG
Jerjuan Newton	WR	6 REC / 138 YDS / 2 TD / 69 YPG
Jacquez Stuart	RB	48 YDS / 2 TD / 24 YPG / 4.4 YPC
Braden Awls	DB	11 TKL / 1 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 2 INT
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren	DB	20 TKL / 1 TFL / 0.5 SACK
Deshawn Holt	LB	7 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK
Maxen Hook	DB	10 TKL / 0 TFL