Florida vs. Mississippi State Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 21, 2024

Updated Sep. 21, 2024 9:05 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Florida Gators (1-2) are favored by 6.5 points when they go on the road to play the Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-2) in SEC action on Saturday, September 21, 2024 at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field. This game has an over/under of 58.5 points.

Facing the Texas A&M Aggies in their most recent contest, the Gators lost 33-20. The Bulldogs lost to the Toledo Rockets, 41-17, in their last contest.

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Florida vs. Mississippi State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 21, 2024 at 12:00 p.m. ET
Location: Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field in Starkville, Mississippi
TV: ESPN
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

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Florida vs Mississippi State Betting Information updated as of September 21, 2024, 8:45 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Florida	-6.5 (-112)	-246	+198	58.5	-109	-111

Florida vs. Mississippi State Prediction

Pick ATS: Mississippi State (+6.5)
Pick OU: Under (58.5)
Prediction: Mississippi State 30, Florida 26

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Florida Gators vs. the Mississippi State Bulldogs game on FOX Sports!

Florida vs. Mississippi State Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Gators 32, Bulldogs 26.
The Gators have a 71.1% chance to collect the win in this game per the moneyline's implied probability. The Bulldogs hold a 33.6% implied probability.
Florida has not won against the spread this season in three chances.
Mississippi State has covered once in three chances against the spread this year.

Florida vs. Mississippi State: 2024 Stats Comparison

	Florida	Mississippi State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	27.3 (73)	32 (48)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	27 (94)	26 (90)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	6 (110)	3 (50)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	2 (98)	2 (98)

Florida 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Montrell Johnson	RB	166 YDS / 3 TD / 55.3 YPG / 5 YPC
DJ Lagway	QB	541 YDS (61.4%) / 4 TD / 3 INT
Elijhah Badger	WR	11 REC / 260 YDS / 1 TD / 86.7 YPG
Eugene Wilson III	WR	13 REC / 191 YDS / 1 TD / 63.7 YPG
Tyreak Sapp	DL	8 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 SACK
George Gumbs	DL	8 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK
Shemar James	LB	8 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Jalen Marshal Jr.	DB	8 TKL / 0 TFL

Mississippi State 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Blake Shapen	QB	834 YDS (70.1%) / 7 TD / 1 INT 4 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 1.3 RUSH YPG
Kevin Coleman Jr.	WR	16 REC / 268 YDS / 3 TD / 89.3 YPG
Mario Craver	WR	5 REC / 130 YDS / 2 TD / 43.3 YPG
Jordan Mosley	WR	11 REC / 183 YDS / 1 TD / 61 YPG
Isaac Smith	DB	17 TKL / 0 TFL
Branden Jennings	LB	7 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK
Stone Blanton	LB	8 TKL / 0 TFL
Kalvin Dinkins	DL	2 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK