WhatIfSports NFL Week 13 predictions: Steelers snap Giants' six-game winning streak

BY foxsports • November 29, 2016

Each Tuesday, WhatIfSports.com's NFL simulation engine generates predictions and box scores for every NFL game for the coming week. Our highly sophisticated algorithms simulate every play of every game to produce each team's likelihood to win. Each matchup is simulated 501 times.

To account for injuries and roster moves announced late in the week, we will be re-simulating games on Thursdays through the season.

Note: Our predictions use the latest available team and player information, while NFL SimMatchup includes all players that were or will be available at any point during the 2016 season so that theoretical and "what if" scenarios can be simulated.

Week 12 in Review

With more data and a bigger sample size to work with, it's no surprise that the NFL simulation engine just had its best week all year. In picking games straight up, we went 12-4, our highest mark of the season. Against the spread were on point as well, as the engine went 7-3-1 (68.2 percent). Our Game to Watch, Lock Pick and Against the Spread Pick were all correct as well. 

Nailed It: Bills 28 - Jaguars 21. There was some potential for this game to go either way, but our engine came very close to nailing this one perfectly. We predicted the Bills to win 61.3 percent of the time by an average score of 25-21

Wide Right: Buccaneers 14 - Seahawks 5. It was hard to see this one coming. The Seahawks had been rolling offensively, but the Bucs put that to a stop. We predicted the Seahawks to win 69.8 percent of the time, by an average score of 24-19.

Track our 2016 performance or view our accuracy last season.

Week 13 Game to Watch

Giants at Steelers: The Giants are scrapping for a playoff spot, and a tough road test against the Steelers awaits in Week 13. Our engine has Le'Veon Bell and the Steelers protecting home field and winning this one 58.3 of the time by an average score of 26-24. 

Week 13 Against the Spread Pick

Redskins (+2.5) over Cardinals: Washington has been playing great football as of late, and the Cardinals have yet to string together impressive victories all season. Even with Washington traveling all the way across the country, our engine has them winning a whopping 60.2 percent of the time and covering easily with an average score of 26-23.

Fantasy Radar

Fantasy Start -- Devontae Booker, DEN: It hasn't been easy for Booker since C.J. Anderson went down with an injury, but the matchup against a Jaguars defense that's more vulnerable to the run than the pass should work heavily in his favor. Our projections have Booker scoring 15.5 fantasy points, making him a clear RB1. 

Fantasy Sit -- John Brown, Cardinals: Michael Floyd has bounced back a bit, and JJ Nelson still lurks, making John Brown an unreliable fantasy option the rest of the season. Larry Fitzgerald and David Johnson are the only options our projections like starting in Week 13.

Fantasy Add -- Tyreek Hill, WR, KC: Hill showed off his explosiveness on Sunday night against the most difficult matchup possible in the Broncos secondary. The Chiefs need a playmaker on the outside with Jeremy Maclin not at 100 percent, and Hill's game-breaking speed should translate to another successful day in Week 13.

For more fantasy football tips, view our Week 13 player projections.

NFL Week 13 Predictions
Matchup Win % Avg. Score
Los Angeles Rams 24.9 17 Box Score
@ New England Patriots 75.1 25 Simulate Game
Carolina Panthers 25.7 20 Box Score
@ Seattle Seahawks 74.3 28 Simulate Game
Buffalo Bills 38.1 20 Box Score
@ Oakland Raiders 61.9 24 Simulate Game
New York Giants 41.7 24 Box Score
@ Pittsburgh Steelers 58.3 26 Simulate Game
Kansas City Chiefs 41.8 24 Box Score
@ Atlanta Falcons 58.2 26 Simulate Game
San Francisco 49ers 44.9 24 Box Score
@ Chicago Bears 55.1 26 Simulate Game
Houston Texans 45.0 21 Box Score
@ Green Bay Packers 55.0 23 Simulate Game
Detroit Lions 45.2 25 Box Score
@ New Orleans Saints 54.8 27 Simulate Game
Miami Dolphins 46.9 21 Box Score
@ Baltimore Ravens 53.1 23 Simulate Game
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 53.8 23 Box Score
@ San Diego Chargers 46.2 22 Simulate Game
Indianapolis Colts 56.0 25 Box Score
@ New York Jets 44.0 23 Simulate Game
Washington Redskins 60.2 26 Box Score
@ Arizona Cardinals 39.8 23 Simulate Game
Philadelphia Eagles 61.3 21 Box Score
@ Cincinnati Bengals 38.7 18 Simulate Game
Dallas Cowboys 66.0 25 Box Score
@ Minnesota Vikings 34.0 20 Simulate Game
Denver Broncos 74.8 26 Box Score
@ Jacksonville Jaguars 25.2 17 Simulate Game

For additional content, view our Week 13 NFL power rankingsNFL archive or sortable weekly NFL predictions.

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