Manchester City vs. Leeds United Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb 28
Manchester City and Leeds United, at opposite ends of the Premier League, will meet at Elland Road on Saturday. We provide our prediction for this matchup in the article below.
With 56 goals in 27 matches, Manchester City is first in the Premier League. On the flip side, Leeds has conceded 46 goals in 27 matches, 17th in the league. Leeds has scored 37 goals in 27 matches this season (11th in Premier League), and Manchester City has conceded 25 goals in 27 games (second in league). With 56 goals scored and 25 conceded, Manchester City is second in the Premier League in goal differential. Leeds has been outscored 46-37, and its -9 goal differential is 16th in the Premier League.
When these teams played on Nov. 29, Manchester City won 3-2, with 17 shots compared to Leeds' five. Phil Foden had three shots for Manchester City, and scored two goals. Leeds' Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Lukas Nmecha scored one goal each (on one and two shots, respectively).
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Manchester City vs. Leeds Odds & Betting Lines
| Moneyline Favorite | Moneyline Underdog | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City -164 | Leeds +409 | 2.5 | -154 | +120 |
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Manchester City vs. Leeds Prediction & Pick
- Moneyline Pick: Manchester City -164
- Total Pick: Over 2.5 goals
- Score Prediction: Manchester City 2, Leeds 1
Manchester City vs. Leeds Match Info
- Match Day: Saturday, February 28, 2026
- Match Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Leeds, England
- Stadium: Elland Road
- TV: Universo, NBC (DirecTV SAT (DVB-S)), Telemundo
- Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Manchester City's Moneyline Performance
- So far this season, Manchester City has been favored in 25 matches, and won 16.
- Manchester City (-164) has been at least this big a favorite in 16 games, and went 12-3-1.
- Manchester City's chances of winning this match are 62.1%, according to the moneyline.
Manchester City's Key Players
| Name | Games | Goals | Assists | Shots | Chances Created |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erling Haaland | 27 | 22 | 7 | 76 | 18 |
| Phil Foden | 24 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 33 |
| Rayan Cherki | 23 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 32 |
| Tijani Reijnders | 25 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 8 |
| Nico O Reilly | 27 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 10 |
Manchester City's Recent Performance
| Opponent | Date | Home/Away | Result | Score | Shots | Opp. Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 2/21/2026 | H | W | 2-1 | 14 | 11 |
| Fulham | 2/11/2026 | H | W | 3-0 | 14 | 13 |
| Liverpool | 2/8/2026 | A | W | 2-1 | 16 | 15 |
| Tottenham | 2/1/2026 | A | D | 2-2 | 12 | 11 |
| Wolverhampton | 1/24/2026 | H | W | 2-0 | 11 | 10 |
Leeds' Moneyline Performance
- This season Leeds has been an underdog in 19 matches, and won one.
- Leeds (+409) has been at least this big an underdog in six games, and won none.
- Based on the moneyline, Leeds has a 19.6% chance of winning this match.
Leeds' Key Players
| Name | Games | Goals | Assists | Shots | Chances Created |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 24 | 10 | 1 | 40 | 11 |
| Anton Stach | 23 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 25 |
| Brenden Aaronson | 27 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 18 |
| Lukas Nmecha | 21 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 3 |
| Noah Okafor | 24 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 11 |
Leeds' Recent Performance
| Opponent | Date | Home/Away | Result | Score | Shots | Opp. Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 2/21/2026 | A | D | 1-1 | 8 | 13 |
| Chelsea | 2/10/2026 | A | D | 2-2 | 4 | 20 |
| Nottingham Forest | 2/6/2026 | H | W | 3-1 | 11 | 16 |
| Arsenal | 1/31/2026 | H | L | 4-0 | 3 | 13 |
| Everton | 1/26/2026 | A | D | 1-1 | 12 | 7 |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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