Aston Villa vs. Newcastle United Prediction, Odds, Picks - Aug 16

Updated Aug. 15, 2025 11:55 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

In its season opener in the Premier League, Aston Villa will play Newcastle United at home on Saturday. We provide our prediction for this matchup in the article below.

Aston Villa was ninth in the Premier League in goals scored last season (1.5 per game), and Newcastle was eighth defensively (1.2 conceded). Newcastle was fourth in the Premier League in goals scored last season (68), and Aston Villa was ninth in goals allowed (51).

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Aston Villa vs. Newcastle Odds & Betting Lines

Aston Villa vs Newcastle Betting Information updated as of August 15, 2025, 5:39 PM ET.
Moneyline Favorite	Moneyline Underdog	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Aston Villa +122	Newcastle +203	2.5	-164	+127

Aston Villa vs. Newcastle Prediction & Pick

Moneyline Pick: Newcastle +203
Total Pick: Over 2.5 goals
Score Prediction: Newcastle 2, Aston Villa 1

Aston Villa vs. Newcastle Match Info

Match Day: Saturday, August 16, 2025
Match Time: 7:30 AM ET
Location: Birmingham, England
Stadium: Villa Park
TV: Univision, USA Network, Fubo TV
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Aston Villa's Moneyline Performance

Aston Villa won 57.1% of its games last season when favored on the moneyline (12-7-2).
When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of +122 or shorter, Aston Villa had a record of 10-7-1 (55.6%).
Aston Villa has an implied moneyline win probability of 45.0% in this matchup.

Aston Villa's Key Players

Name	Team	Games	Goals	Assists	Shots	Chances Created
Ollie Watkins	Aston Villa	38	16	7	71	18
Morgan Rogers	Aston Villa	37	8	10	42	42
Youri Tielemans	Aston Villa	36	3	7	31	42
John McGinn	Aston Villa	34	1	4	19	23
Jacob Ramsey	Aston Villa	29	1	4	14	16

Newcastle's Moneyline Performance

Last season Newcastle was an underdog nine times, and went 2-2-5.
Newcastle was 1-2-4 last season when entering a game as the underdog by +203 or more on the moneyline.
Bookmakers have implied, with the moneyline set for this matchup, that Newcastle has a 33.0% chance to win.

Newcastle's Key Players

Name	Team	Games	Goals	Assists	Shots	Chances Created
Alexander Isak	Newcastle United	34	23	6	82	36
Jacob Murphy	Newcastle United	37	8	11	33	27
Harvey Barnes	Newcastle United	34	9	4	45	19
Anthony Gordon	Newcastle United	34	6	6	41	45
Bruno Guimaraes	Newcastle United	38	5	6	35	47