
Aston Villa vs. Leeds United Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 23
Aston Villa and Leeds United will meet on Sunday in the Premier League. Aston Villa topped AFC Bournemouth last time out, 4-0, but Leeds was beaten by Nottingham Forest 3-1. Below, you can find our prediction for this contest.
Aston Villa has scored 13 goals in 11 matches this season (14th in Premier League), and Leeds has allowed 20 goals in 11 matches (14th in league). Offensively, Leeds is 19th in the Premier League (10 goals, 0.9 per match). And defensively, Aston Villa is third (10 goals conceded, 0.9 per match). Aston Villa has outscored opponents 13-10, and its +3 goal differential is sixth in the Premier League. In terms of goal differential, Leeds is 17th in the Premier League at -10.
Aston Villa's last game was a 4-0 victory at home against AFC Bournemouth, taking 16 shots and outshooting Bournemouth by five. Aston Villa got goals from four players, including Donyell Malen, in its match versus Bournemouth. In its last game on November 9, Leeds was handed a 3-1 road loss to Nottingham Forest, while registering three fewer shots than Nottingham Forest. Lukas Nmecha scored Leeds' only goal on one shot.
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Aston Villa vs. Leeds Odds & Betting Lines
| Moneyline Favorite | Moneyline Underdog | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa +153 | Leeds +191 | 2.5 | +108 | -139 |
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Aston Villa vs. Leeds Prediction & Pick
- Moneyline Pick: Aston Villa +153
- Total Pick: Under 2.5 goals
- Score Prediction: Aston Villa 2, Leeds 1
Aston Villa vs. Leeds Match Info
- Match Day: Sunday, November 23, 2025
- Match Time: 9:00 AM ET
- Location: Leeds, England
- Stadium: Elland Road
- TV: Telemundo, USA Network, Fubo TV
- Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Aston Villa's Moneyline Performance
- Aston Villa has been favored in seven matches this season, and won three.
- Aston Villa has three wins in seven games as a +153 favorite or greater.
- Based on the moneyline, Aston Villa has a 39.5% implied chance of winning this match.
Aston Villa's Key Players
| Name | Games | Goals | Assists | Shots | Chances Created |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emiliano Buendia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 6 |
| Donyell Malen | 11 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 |
| Lucas Digne | 11 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Morgan Rogers | 11 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 |
| Matty Cash | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 6 |
Aston Villa's Recent Performance
| Opponent | Date | Home/Away | Result | Score | Shots | Opp. Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 11/9/2025 | H | W | 4-0 | 16 | 11 |
| Liverpool | 11/1/2025 | A | L | 2-0 | 9 | 16 |
| Manchester City | 10/26/2025 | H | W | 1-0 | 6 | 15 |
| Tottenham | 10/19/2025 | A | W | 2-1 | 8 | 7 |
| Burnley | 10/5/2025 | H | W | 2-1 | 11 | 3 |
Leeds' Moneyline Performance
- Leeds has not won in seven matches as an underdog this season.
- Leeds is winless in six games as a +191 underdog or greater.
- Leeds has a 34.4% chance of winning this match, based on the moneyline.
Leeds' Key Players
| Name | Games | Goals | Assists | Shots | Chances Created |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Longstaff | 11 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 14 |
| Joe Rodon | 11 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 |
| Noah Okafor | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Lukas Nmecha | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Anton Stach | 11 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 |
Leeds' Recent Performance
| Opponent | Date | Home/Away | Result | Score | Shots | Opp. Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | 11/9/2025 | A | L | 3-1 | 11 | 14 |
| Brighton | 11/1/2025 | A | L | 3-0 | 5 | 17 |
| West Ham | 10/24/2025 | H | W | 2-1 | 10 | 9 |
| Burnley | 10/18/2025 | A | L | 2-0 | 14 | 3 |
| Tottenham | 10/4/2025 | H | L | 2-1 | 16 | 10 |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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