Two clubs at opposite ends of the Premier League will clash on Saturday, when third-place Aston Villa hosts 15th-place Leeds United. Find our prediction for this matchup below.
Offensively, Aston Villa is eighth in the Premier League (37 goals, 1.4 per match). And defensively, Leeds is 16th (45 goals conceded, 1.7 per match). In the Premier League, Leeds has put up 36 goals in 26 games (10th in league), and Aston Villa has conceded 27 in 26 games (third). Aston Villa's goal difference (+10) ranks fourth in the Premier League. With 36 goals scored and 45 conceded, Leeds is 16th in the Premier League in goal differential.
Last time out, Aston Villa earned a 1-0 victory at home against Brighton & Hove Albion, taking 11 shots and outshooting Brighton by three. Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha was one of 16 Aston Villa scorers to find the back of the net zero times in the match against Brighton. Leeds drew with Chelsea FC 2-2 on the road in its most recent game on Feb. 10, though it was outshot 20 to four. Noah Okafor and Lukas Nmecha both scored a goal for Leeds.
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Aston Villa vs. Leeds Odds & Betting Lines
| Moneyline Favorite | Moneyline Underdog | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa -121 | Leeds +331 | 2.5 | -135 | +105 |
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Aston Villa vs. Leeds Prediction & Pick
- Moneyline Pick: Aston Villa -121
- Total Pick: Over 2.5 goals
- Score Prediction: Aston Villa 2, Leeds 1
Aston Villa vs. Leeds Match Info
- Match Day: Saturday, February 21, 2026
- Match Time: 10 a.m. ET
- Location: Birmingham, England
- Stadium: Villa Park
- TV: Universo, Peacock Premium
- Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Aston Villa's Moneyline Performance
- So far this season, Aston Villa has been favored in 17 matches, and won nine.
- Thus far this season, Aston Villa (-121) has been at least this big a favorite three times, winning twice.
- According to the moneyline, Aston Villa's chances of winning this match are 54.8%.
Aston Villa's Key Players
| Name | Games | Goals | Assists | Shots | Chances Created |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Rogers | 26 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 20 |
| Ollie Watkins | 25 | 8 | 1 | 32 | 15 |
| Emiliano Buendia | 25 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 18 |
| Matty Cash | 24 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 16 |
| John McGinn | 22 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 23 |
Aston Villa's Recent Performance
| Opponent | Date | Home/Away | Result | Score | Shots | Opp. Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 2/11/2026 | H | W | 1-0 | 11 | 8 |
| Bournemouth | 2/7/2026 | A | D | 1-1 | 6 | 17 |
| Brentford | 2/1/2026 | H | L | 1-0 | 25 | 4 |
| Newcastle | 1/25/2026 | A | W | 2-0 | 14 | 18 |
| Everton | 1/18/2026 | H | L | 1-0 | 18 | 9 |
Leeds' Moneyline Performance
- Leeds has been an underdog in 18 matches this season, and won one time.
- Leeds (+331) has been at least this big an underdog in six games, and won none.
- Leeds' chances of winning this match are 23.2%, according to the moneyline.
Leeds' Key Players
| Name | Games | Goals | Assists | Shots | Chances Created |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 23 | 10 | 1 | 37 | 9 |
| Brenden Aaronson | 26 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 18 |
| Lukas Nmecha | 20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 3 |
| Anton Stach | 22 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 24 |
| Noah Okafor | 24 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 11 |
Leeds' Recent Performance
| Opponent | Date | Home/Away | Result | Score | Shots | Opp. Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 2/10/2026 | A | D | 2-2 | 4 | 20 |
| Nottingham Forest | 2/6/2026 | H | W | 3-1 | 11 | 16 |
| Arsenal | 1/31/2026 | H | L | 4-0 | 3 | 13 |
| Everton | 1/26/2026 | A | D | 1-1 | 12 | 7 |
| Fulham | 1/17/2026 | H | W | 1-0 | 11 | 7 |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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