The upcoming fixture list in the Premier League includes 16th-place Aston Villa hosting 18th-place Burnley FC -- two bottom-half teams -- on Sunday, October 5 at 9:00 AM ET. Our game prediction can be found below.
In the Premier League, Aston Villa has put up four goals in 6 games (18th in league), and Burnley has allowed 13 in 6 matches (18th). With six goals in 6 games, Burnley is 15th in the Premier League. On the flip side, Aston Villa has conceded six goals in 6 matches, fifth in the league. In terms of goal differential, Aston Villa is 12th in the Premier League at -2. Burnley is 18th in the Premier League in goal differential at -7.
Aston Villa faced Fulham at home in its last game and won by a final score of 3-1. It won despite being outshot by one in the match, 10 to nine. John McGinn, Ollie Watkins and Emiliano Buendia combined to score the three goals for their club in the match against Fulham. Burnley was beaten by Manchester City 5-1 on the road in its most recent match on September 27, and was outshot 16 to seven. Burnley's Jaidon Anthony scored its only goal (on one shot) in the match.
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Aston Villa vs. Burnley Odds & Betting Lines
| Moneyline Favorite | Moneyline Underdog | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa -161 | Burnley +454 | 2.5 | -113 | -113 |
Aston Villa vs. Burnley Prediction & Pick
- Moneyline Pick: Aston Villa -161
- Total Pick: Under 2.5 goals
- Score Prediction: Aston Villa 2, Burnley 1
Aston Villa vs. Burnley Match Info
- Match Day: Sunday, October 5, 2025
- Match Time: 9:00 AM ET
- Location: Birmingham, England
- Stadium: Villa Park
- TV: Peacock Premium
- Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Aston Villa's Moneyline Performance
- So far this season, Aston Villa has been favored in five matches, and won one.
- Thus far this season, Aston Villa (-161) has not been this big a favorite.
- The likelihood of Aston Villa winning this match is 61.7%, based on the moneyline.
Aston Villa's Key Players
| Name | Games | Goals | Assists | Shots | Chances Created |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emiliano Buendia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 |
| Morgan Rogers | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 |
| Boubacar Kamara | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Lucas Digne | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| John McGinn | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 |
Aston Villa's Recent Performance
| Opponent | Date | Home/Away | Result | Score | Shots | Opp. Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | 9/28/2025 | H | W | 3-1 | 9 | 10 |
| Sunderland AFC | 9/21/2025 | A | D | 1-1 | 10 | 12 |
| Everton | 9/13/2025 | A | D | 0-0 | 6 | 19 |
| Crystal Palace | 8/31/2025 | H | L | 3-0 | 12 | 6 |
| Brentford | 8/23/2025 | A | L | 1-0 | 12 | 5 |
Burnley's Moneyline Performance
- Burnley has no wins in five matches as an underdog this season.
- Burnley (+454) has been at least this big an underdog in four games, and won none.
- Burnley's chances of winning this match are 18.1%, according to the moneyline.
Burnley's Key Players
| Name | Games | Goals | Assists | Shots | Chances Created |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaidon Anthony | 6 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 6 |
| Joshua Cullen | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| Lyle Foster | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| Quilindschy Hartman | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Jacob Bruun Larsen | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Burnley's Recent Performance
| Opponent | Date | Home/Away | Result | Score | Shots | Opp. Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 9/27/2025 | A | L | 5-1 | 7 | 16 |
| Nottingham Forest | 9/20/2025 | H | D | 1-1 | 8 | 17 |
| Liverpool | 9/14/2025 | H | L | 1-0 | 2 | 25 |
| Manchester United | 8/30/2025 | A | L | 3-2 | 6 | 24 |
| Sunderland AFC | 8/23/2025 | H | W | 2-0 | 8 | 9 |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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