Aston Villa vs. Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb 11

Updated Feb. 11, 2026 1:58 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Aston Villa, currently third in the Premier League, hosts 14th-place Brighton & Hove Albion on Wednesday, in a top-half versus bottom-half clash. Below, you can find our prediction for this contest.

Aston Villa has scored 36 goals in 25 games this season (ninth in Premier League), and Brighton has allowed 33 goals in 25 games (eighth in league). With 34 goals in 25 matches, Brighton is 13th in the Premier League. On the flip side, Aston Villa has allowed 27 goals in 25 games, third in the league. With 36 goals scored and 27 allowed, Aston Villa is fifth in the Premier League in goal differential. Brighton's goal difference (+1) ranks eighth in the Premier League.

Aston Villa's last game was a 1-1 draw away from home versus AFC Bournemouth and it was outshot by 11 in the match, 17 to six. Morgan Rogers scored in the match against Bournemouth. Brighton lost to Crystal Palace 1-0 at home in its last match on Feb. 8, and was outshot eight to six. Lewis Dunk led Brighton with two shots in the club's scoreless effort.

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Aston Villa vs. Brighton Odds & Betting Lines

Aston Villa vs Brighton Betting Information updated as of February 11, 2026, 11:40 a.m. ET.
Moneyline Favorite	Moneyline Underdog	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Aston Villa -102	Brighton +260	2.5	-168	+130

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Aston Villa vs. Brighton Prediction & Pick

Moneyline Pick: Aston Villa -102
Total Pick: Over 2.5 goals
Score Prediction: Aston Villa 2, Brighton 1

Aston Villa vs. Brighton Match Info

Match Day: Wednesday, February 11, 2026
Match Time: 2:30 p.m. ET
Location: Birmingham, England
Stadium: Villa Park
TV: Peacock Premium
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Aston Villa's Moneyline Performance

So far this season, Aston Villa has been favored in 16 matches, and won eight.
Aston Villa has three wins in four games as a -102 favorite or greater.
The likelihood of Aston Villa winning this match is 50.5%, based on the moneyline.

Aston Villa's Key Players

Name	Games	Goals	Assists	Shots	Chances Created
Morgan Rogers	25	8	6	37	18
Ollie Watkins	24	8	1	31	15
Emiliano Buendia	24	5	2	23	17
John McGinn	22	3	2	14	23
Matty Cash	24	3	2	17	16

Aston Villa's Recent Performance

Opponent	Date	Home/Away	Result	Score	Shots	Opp. Shots
Bournemouth	2/7/2026	A	D	1-1	6	17
Brentford	2/1/2026	H	L	1-0	25	4
Newcastle	1/25/2026	A	W	2-0	14	18
Everton	1/18/2026	H	L	1-0	18	9
Crystal Palace	1/7/2026	A	D	0-0	13	7

Brighton's Moneyline Performance

This season Brighton has gone 3-2-5 in 10 matches as the underdog.
This season Brighton (+260) has been at least this big an underdog in five games, and won twice.
Brighton has a 27.8% chance of winning this match, based on the moneyline.