Lightning vs. Senators prediction, odds, picks - Oct. 9

Updated Oct. 9, 2025 6:14 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Nikita Kucherov and Tim Stutzle will be two of the most exciting players to keep an eye on when the Tampa Bay Lightning meet the Ottawa Senators at Benchmark International Arena on Thursday, Oct. 9 at 7 p.m. ET. Check out everything you need to know to know about the Lightning-Senators game, from the puck lined, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Lightning vs. Senators Game Information and TV Channel

When: Thursday, October 9, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida
TV: ESPN+
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Lightning vs Senators Betting Information
Favorite	Puck Line	Favorite Puck Line Odds	Underdog Puck Line Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Lightning	-1.5	142	-170	6.5	105	-125	-180	+150

Lightning vs. Senators Prediction

ATS Pick: Lightning (- 1.5)
O/U Pick: Under (6.5)
Score Prediction: Lightning 4 - Senators 2

Lightning vs. Senators Betting Insights

Tampa Bay's games last season went over this matchup's total of 6.5 goals 37 times.
Ottawa played 34 games last season that finished with more than 6.5 goals.
The two teams combined to score 6.5 goals per game, 0.0 more than this one's total.
Opponents of these two teams averaged 5.5 goals per game combined, 1.0 fewer than this one's over/under.
In terms of goals scored, the Lightning were first in the league, and the Senators were 18th.
This game features the league's 13th-ranked (Senators) and fourth-ranked (Lightning) teams last season in terms of defense.

Lightning Stats

The Lightning's 292 total goals (3.6 per game, with 6.1 assists per contest) led the league last season.
Tampa Bay allowed 216 total goals (2.6 per game), the fourth-fewest in league play.
They had the league's second-best goal differential at +76.
The 60 power-play goals Tampa Bay recorded last season were the fifth-most in the NHL (on 232 chances).
The Lightning were fifth in the league with a 25.86% power-play conversion rate.
Tampa Bay scored 11 shorthanded goals last season.

Lightning Leaders

Name	Games	Goals	Assists	Points	Giveaways	Takeaways	Faceoff Win %
Nikita Kucherov	78	37	84	121	122	30	50%
Brandon Hagel	82	35	55	90	96	30	34.8%
Brayden Point	77	42	40	82	45	17	48.5%
Jake Guentzel	80	41	39	80	79	25	46.1%
Victor Hedman	79	15	51	66	119	25	-

Lightning Player Props

Senators Stats

With 242 goals (3.0 per game) last season, the Senators had the NHL's 18th-ranked offense.
Ottawa allowed 2.8 goals per game (232 in total), 13th in the NHL.
They had the 14th-ranked goal differential in the league at +10.
Ottawa had 64 power-play goals (second-most in NHL) on 270 chances.
The Senators scored on 23.7% of their power plays, No. 13 in the league.
In terms of shorthanded goals, Ottawa had nine.