Capitals vs. Lightning prediction, odds, picks - Oct. 14

Updated Oct. 14, 2025 6:14 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Alexander Ovechkin and Brandon Hagel are two of the most exciting players to keep an eye on when the Washington Capitals play the Tampa Bay Lightning at Capital One Arena on Tuesday, Oct. 14 at 7 p.m. ET. Take a look at everything you need to know about the Capitals-Lightning game, from the puck lined, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Capitals vs. Lightning Game Information and TV Channel

When: Tuesday, October 14, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
Where: Capital One Arena in Washington D.C.
TV: ESPN
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Capitals vs Lightning Betting Information
Favorite	Puck Line	Favorite Puck Line Odds	Underdog Puck Line Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Capitals	-1.5	190	-230	5.5	-130	110	-125	+105

Capitals vs. Lightning Prediction

ATS Pick: Lightning (+ 1.5)
O/U Pick: Over (5.5)
Score Prediction: Capitals 3 - Lightning 2

Capitals vs. Lightning Betting Insights

In 49 of 92 games last season, Washington and its opponent combined to finish above 5.5 goals.
Tampa Bay played 49 games last season with more than 5.5 goals.
These two teams scored seven goals per game between them, 1.5 more than this one's over/under.
Opponents of these two teams combined to scored 5.4 goals per game, 0.1 fewer than this one's total.
In terms of goals scored, the Capitals were second in the league, and the Lightning were first.
The Lightning were fourth in the league in goals surrendered, and the Capitals were eighth.

Capitals Stats

The Capitals' 286 total goals (3.5 per game) made them the second-best scoring team in the NHL last season.
Washington conceded 229 total goals (2.8 per game), ranking eighth in league action for the fewest goals against.
Their goal differential (+57) made them fourth-best in the league.
The 52 power-play goals Washington scored last season (13th in the NHL) came via 221 chances.
The Capitals were 14th in the league with a 23.53% power-play conversion rate.
The eight shorthanded goals Washington scored last season ranked 10th among all NHL teams.

Capitals Leaders

Name	Games	Goals	Assists	Points	Giveaways	Takeaways	Faceoff Win %
Dylan Strome	82	29	53	82	79	21	53.6%
Alexander Ovechkin	65	44	29	73	47	12	0%
Pierre-Luc Dubois	82	20	46	66	65	15	49.8%
Aliaksei Protas	76	30	36	66	56	19	25%
Tom Wilson	81	33	32	65	91	20	26.3%

Capitals Player Props

Lightning Stats

The Lightning were the league's top scorers last season, with 292 goals (3.6 per game).
Tampa Bay had one of the best defenses in the league, conceding 216 total goals (2.6 per game), fourth in the NHL.
Their +76 goal differential was second-best in the league.
With 60 power-play goals (on 232 chances), Tampa Bay was fifth-best in the NHL.
The Lightning's power-play percentage (25.86) put them fifth in the league.
Tampa Bay had 11 shorthanded goals (third in NHL).