Vikings vs. Falcons 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 14

The Minnesota Vikings (1-0) are favored by 3.5 points versus the Atlanta Falcons (0-1) on September 14, 2025, starting at 8:20 p.m. ET, airing on NBC. The expected point total for the game is 44.5.

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Vikings vs. Falcons Odds & Betting Lines

Vikings vs. Falcons Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Vikings (-3.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (44.5)
  
• Prediction: Vikings 29 - Falcons 17

How to Watch Minnesota vs. Atlanta

• Game date: Sunday, September 14, 2025
• Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
• Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium
• Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
• TV: NBC
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Vikings vs. Falcons Recent Matchups

• Minnesota holds a 4-0 record against Atlanta in their last four matchups.
• Atlanta has been outscored by 45 points in its last four tilts versus Minnesota.

Minnesota Betting Info

• Minnesota went 10-5-2 ATS last season.
• Against the spread, as 3.5-point favorites or more, the Vikings went 4-2 last season.
• Minnesota games hit the over seven out of 17 times last season.
• The Vikings won 10 of the 12 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (83.3%).
• Minnesota won all five games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -180 or shorter.
• The Vikings have a 64.3% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.

Vikings Stats (2024)

Minnesota's Key Players

Offense

• Last year, Justin Jefferson had 103 receptions (sixth in the NFL) for 1,533 yards (second in the NFL) with 10 receiving touchdowns (sixth in the NFL). He was targeted 154 times and averaged 6.1 catches per game over 17 games played.
• Aaron Jones averaged 66.9 rushing yards per game over 17 games (1,138 total yards to rank ninth in the NFL), while scoring five rushing touchdowns.
• Jones also had 51 catches for 408 yards with two receiving touchdowns. He was targeted 62 times and averaged 24 yards per game.
• Jordan Mason rushed for three touchdowns last year for the 49ers and totaled 789 rushing yards (65.8 per game and 5.2 per carry).
• Adam Thielen was targeted 62 times, resulting in 48 catches for 615 yards last season for the Panthers.

Defense

• Andrew Van Ginkel intercepted two passes and also had 79 tackles, 18 TFL, 11.5 sacks, and six passes defended in 2024.
• Jonathan Greenard had 59 tackles, 18 TFL, and 12 sacks.
• During the 2024 campaign, Byron Murphy had 81 tackles, six TFL, and six interceptions in 16 games.
• Josh Metellus totaled two TFL, 103 tackles, and two interceptions.

Atlanta Betting Info

• Atlanta went 6-10-1 ATS last season.
• The Falcons won once ATS (1-2) as underdogs of 3.5 points or greater last year.
• Last season, seven Atlanta games hit the over.
• Last season, the Falcons won one out of the six games in which they were the underdog.
• Atlanta had a record of 1-2 when it was set as an underdog of +150 or more by oddsmakers last season.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Falcons have a 40.0% chance to win.

Falcons Stats (2024)

Atlanta's Key Players

Offense

• Bijan Robinson averaged 85.6 yards rushing last year (1,456 total yards to rank third in the NFL,) while scoring 14 rushing TDs.
• Robinson's contributions included 61 catches (3.6 per game) on 72 targets for 431 yards (25.4 per game). He had one receiving TD.
• Drake London had 1,271 yards receiving (fourth in the NFL) and nine TDs (ninth in the NFL) on 100 catches (ninth in the NFL), and was targeted 158 times.
• Kirk Cousins passed for 3,508 yards last year, with 18 TDs and 16 INTs. He completed 66.9% of his passes, averaging 250.6 yards per game and 7.7 per attempt.
• Darnell Mooney had 64 receptions for 992 yards and five TDs. He averaged four yards per game in 16 games and was targeted 106 times.

Defense

• Kaden Elliss' showing in 2024 included 150 tackles, eight TFL, five sacks, and one interception in 17 games.
• Jessie Bates III's production included four INTs (10th in the NFL) as well as 102 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and 10 passes defended.
• DeAundre Alford posted one sack in addition to his one TFL and 80 tackles.
• Leonard Floyd's numbers for the 49ers last year included 42 tackles, eight TFL, and 8.5 sacks in 14 games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Minnesota Vikings

Atlanta Falcons