Steelers vs. Ravens Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 6

Published Jan. 2, 2024 1:06 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Having taken six in a row, the Baltimore Ravens (13-3) will play the Pittsburgh Steelers (9-7). Despite that, the Steelers are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5). The over/under for this one is set at 37.5 points.

Steelers vs. Ravens Odds & Betting Lines

Steelers vs Ravens Betting Information updated as of January 2, 2024, 12:33 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Steelers	-3.5	-105	-115	37.5	-102	-118

Steelers vs. Ravens Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Baltimore (+3.5)
Pick OU: Over (37.5)
Prediction: Baltimore 30 - Pittsburgh 12

How to Watch Pittsburgh vs. Baltimore

Game Date: Saturday, January 6, 2024
Time: 4:30 PM ET
Venue: M&T Bank Stadium
Location: Baltimore, Maryland
TV: Watch on ABC/ESPN

Steelers vs. Ravens Recent Matchups

Over their last five meetings, Baltimore has totaled three wins against Pittsburgh.
Over their last five head-to-head contests, Baltimore has racked up 93 points, while Pittsburgh has tallied 80.

Pittsburgh Betting Info

Pittsburgh has nine wins in 16 games versus the spread this year.
The Steelers have not covered the spread when favored by 3.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
Pittsburgh games this year have hit the over on six of 16 set point totals (37.5%).
The Steelers have put together a 3-3 record in games they played as the moneyline favorite (winning 50% of those games).
Pittsburgh has played as a moneyline favorite of -180 or shorter in just two games this season, and it lost both.
The Steelers have a 64.3% chance to win this matchup, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Steelers Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	189.3 (3,029)	25
Rush yards	115.9 (1,855)	12
Points scored	17.9 (287)	27
Pass yards against	233.9 (3,742)	22
Rush yards against	115.6 (1,850)	18
Points allowed	19.6 (314)	7

Pittsburgh's Key Players

Offense

Najee Harris' rushing output this season includes 923 yards and seven TDs. He's averaging 57.7 yards per game and 4.0 per attempt (23rd in the NFL).
George Pickens has caught 63 passes on 106 targets for 1,140 total yards and five touchdowns. He is averaging 3.9 catches and 71.3 yards per game through 16 games.
Jaylen Warren's output on the ground this season includes 751 yards and four TDs. He's averaging 46.9 yards per game and 5.4 per attempt (second in the NFL).
Warren has 56 receptions on 69 targets for 353 yards, though he has yet to score a touchdown in the passing game.
Kenny Pickett has 2,070 passing yards, six touchdowns and four interceptions this year. He has completed 62.0% of his attempts, averaging 172.5 yards per game and 6.4 per attempt.
He has tacked on 54 rushing yards (4.5 per game) and one touchdown on the ground.

Defense

On defense for the Steelers, T.J. Watt has put up 60 tackles, 16.0 TFL, 17 sacks, and one interception in 2023.
Elandon Roberts has 2.5 sacks as well as 10.0 TFL and 100 tackles.
This season, Alex Highsmith has recorded 7.0 sacks (second on the Steelers) to go with his 8.0 TFL, 54 tackles, and two interceptions.
Larry Ogunjobi has 3.0 sacks (third on the Steelers) as well as 3.0 TFL and 42 tackles on the season.

Baltimore Betting Info

Baltimore is 11-5-0 against the spread this year.
This season, the Ravens have won ATS in each of their two games as an underdog of 3.5 points or more.
Games involving Baltimore have hit the over on eight occasions this year.
The Ravens have won both games they've played as underdogs this season.
Baltimore has played as an underdog of +150 or more once this season and won that game.
The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 40.0% chance of a victory for the Ravens.

Ravens Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	219.8 (3,517)	21
Rush yards	159.7 (2,555)	1
Points scored	29.6 (473)	2
Pass yards against	195.6 (3,129)	6
Rush yards against	106.6 (1,705)	13
Points allowed	16.4 (263)	1

Baltimore's Key Players

Offense

Lamar Jackson is averaging 8.0 passing yards per attempt (fourth in the NFL) and 229.9 yards per game this year, completing 67.2% of his passes on the way to 3,678 total yards, 24 touchdowns (10th in the NFL) and seven interceptions through 16 games.
Jackson has also rushed for five touchdowns and 821 yards (first on the Ravens).
Gus Edwards has scored 13 rushing touchdowns, while totaling 762 rushing yards (4.1 per attempt and 47.6 per game).
Edwards also has 12 catches for 180 yards (seventh on the Ravens). He has been targeted 13 times and averages 11.3 yards per game.
Zay Flowers has totaled 858 receiving yards and five touchdowns on 77 receptions, while being targeted 108 times this season.
Justice Hill averages 25.8 rushing yards per game over 15 games (387 total yards), with three rushing touchdowns.
Hill has also caught 25 passes for 180 yards (seventh on the Ravens), with one receiving touchdown. He's been targeted 29 times and averages 12.0 yards per game.

Defense

Roquan Smith has recorded 1.5 sacks to go with 5.0 TFL, 158 tackles, and one interception over 16 games in 2023.
Patrick Queen has 3.5 sacks (fifth on the Ravens) to go with 9.0 TFL, 125 tackles, and one interception.
Justin Madubuike has 13.0 sacks (first on the Ravens) in addition to his 12.0 TFL and 54 tackles.
Kyle Hamilton has totaled 3.0 sacks as well as 10.0 TFL, 81 tackles, and four interceptions.

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