Steelers vs. Browns 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 28

Updated Dec. 28, 2025 12:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Pittsburgh Steelers (9-6) are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -4.5) over the Cleveland Browns (3-12). The Steelers have taken three games in a row. An over/under of 35.5 points has been set for the matchup.

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Steelers vs. Browns Odds & Betting Lines

Steelers vs Browns Betting Information updated as of December 28, 2025, 12:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Steelers	-4.5	-108	-112	35.5	-108	-112

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Steelers vs. Browns Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Steelers (-4.5)
Pick OU: Over (35.5)
Prediction: Steelers 27 - Browns 17

How to Watch Pittsburgh vs. Cleveland

Game date: Sunday, December 28, 2025
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: Huntington Bank Field
Location: Cleveland, Ohio
TV: CBS
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Steelers vs. Browns Recent Matchups

Over their last five meetings, Pittsburgh has totaled three wins against Cleveland.
In their last five head-to-head matchups, Pittsburgh has tallied 105 points versus Cleveland, while surrendering only 82 points.

Pittsburgh Betting Info

Pittsburgh has played 15 games, posting eight wins against the spread.
The Steelers have covered the spread twice when favored by 4.5 points or more this season (in three opportunities).
Pittsburgh games this year have gone over the total in nine out of 15 opportunities (60%).
When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Steelers are 5-2, picking up a win 71.4% of the time.
Based on this game's moneyline, the Steelers' implied win probability is 67.2%.

Steelers Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	199.3 (2,990)	21
Rush yards	101.7 (1,525)	26
Points scored	24.3 (365)	15
Pass yards against	249.3 (3,740)	30
Rush yards against	113.8 (1,707)	14
Points allowed	23.3 (350)	16

Pittsburgh's Key Players

Offense

Aaron Rodgers has 2,860 passing yards, 23 touchdowns and seven interceptions this year. He has completed 66.7% of his passes, averaging 204.3 yards per game and 6.9 per attempt.
He has tacked on 35 rushing yards (2.5 per game) and one touchdown on the ground.
Jaylen Warren's rushing statline this season includes 828 yards and six TDs. He is averaging 59.1 yards per game and 4.5 per attempt (20th in the NFL).
Warren's 40 targets in the passing game have resulted in 35 catches (2.5 per game) for 300 yards (21.4 per game) and two touchdowns.
Kenneth Gainwell's output on the ground this season includes 501 yards and four TDs. He is averaging 33.4 yards per game and 4.9 per attempt (11th in the NFL).
Gainwell has totaled 62 catches on 72 targets for 410 yards, with three receiving TDs.
Pat Freiermuth has put up 372 receiving yards and four touchdowns with 35 catches on 44 targets. He is averaging 2.7 receptions and 28.6 yards per game.

Defense

Over on defense, Payton Wilson has 102 tackles, six TFL, two sacks, and one interception in 2025.
T.J. Watt has picked off one pass and added 53 tackles, 10 TFL, seven sacks, and seven passes defended.
This season, Patrick Queen has put up one sack in addition to his seven TFL and 113 tackles.
Nick Herbig has one interception while adding 29 tackles, 12 TFL, 6.5 sacks, and two passes defended.

Cleveland Betting Info

Cleveland has covered the spread in a game six times this season (6-9-0).
The Browns are 4-6 ATS when underdogs by 4.5 points or more this year.
Cleveland games have gone over the total eight times this season.
This season, the Browns have won two out of the 12 games, or 16.7%, in which they've been the underdog.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Browns have a 37.0% chance to win.

Browns Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	169.4 (2,541)	29
Rush yards	96.9 (1,453)	28
Points scored	16.4 (246)	31
Pass yards against	164.1 (2,461)	1
Rush yards against	113.7 (1,706)	13
Points allowed	23.7 (355)	20

Cleveland's Key Players

Offense

This year, Harold Fannin has 70 receptions for 701 yards with five receiving touchdowns. He has been targeted 105 times and averages 4.7 catches per game through 15 games played.
Shedeur Sanders has 1,103 passing yards, six touchdowns and eight interceptions. His completion percentage is 55.1% and he averages 183.8 yards per game and 6.6 per attempt.
He has added 123 rushing yards (second on the Browns), while scoring one touchdown on the ground (averaging 20.5 yards per game and 8.8 per carry).
Dillon Gabriel has thrown for 937 yards this year, seven touchdowns and two interceptions. He is completing 59.5% of his passes while averaging 104.1 yards per game and 5.1 per attempt.
Jerry Jeudy has 531 receiving yards and two touchdowns from 43 receptions after getting 93 targets.

Defense

So far in 2025, Myles Garrett has put up 58 tackles, 32 TFL, and 22 sacks over 15 games.
Carson Schwesinger has two interceptions on top of 136 tackles, 11 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and three passes defended.
Devin Bush Jr. has intercepted two passes on top of 101 tackles, six TFL, two sacks, and seven passes defended in the 2025 season.
Tyson Campbell has one TFL, 79 tackles, and one interception through 15 games.