Steelers vs. Browns 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 28

The Cleveland Browns (3-12) will be aiming to end a four-game losing run against the Pittsburgh Steelers (9-6). The Steelers are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5). The predicted point total for the matchup is 34.5.

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Steelers vs. Browns Odds & Betting Lines

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Steelers vs. Browns Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Steelers (-3.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (34.5)
  
• Prediction: Steelers 27 - Browns 17

How to Watch Pittsburgh vs. Cleveland

• Game date: Sunday, December 28, 2025
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• Venue: Huntington Bank Field
• Location: Cleveland, Ohio
• TV: CBS
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Steelers vs. Browns Recent Matchups

• In their last five head-to-head bouts, Pittsburgh has beaten Cleveland three times.
• Over their last five head-to-head matchups, Pittsburgh has scored 105 points, while Cleveland has accumulated 82.

Pittsburgh Betting Info

• Pittsburgh is 8-7-0 against the spread this season.
• The Steelers are 3-2 ATS this season when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
• Pittsburgh games this year have hit the over on nine of 15 set point totals (60%).
• When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Steelers are 5-2 (winning 71.4% of the time).
• The Steelers have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 64.3%.

Steelers Stats

Pittsburgh's Key Players

Offense

• Aaron Rodgers has thrown for 2,860 yards, 23 touchdowns and seven interceptions this year. He is averaging 204.3 yards per game and 6.9 per attempt, while completing 66.7% of his passes.
• He has tacked on 35 rushing yards (2.5 per game) and one touchdown on the ground.
• Jaylen Warren has racked up 828 rushing yards with six touchdowns (59.1 yards per game across 14 games). His 4.5 yards per attempt rank 21st in the league.
• Warren has 35 receptions on 40 targets for 300 yards. He has two receiving TDs.
• Kenneth Gainwell's output on the ground this season includes 501 yards and four TDs. He is averaging 33.4 yards per game and 4.9 per attempt (11th in the NFL).
• Gainwell has recorded 62 receptions, 410 yards and three TDs in the passing game.
• Pat Freiermuth has 35 receptions for 372 yards and four touchdowns. He's been targeted 44 times in the passing game, and averages 2.7 receptions and 28.6 yards through 13 games played.

Defense

• On defense, Payton Wilson has 2.0 sacks to go with 6.0 TFL, 102 tackles, and one interception in 2025.
• T.J. Watt has 53 tackles, 10.0 TFL, seven sacks, and one interception this season.
• Patrick Queen has totaled 113 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and one sack this year. He leads the Steelers in tackles.
• Nick Herbig has one interception with 29 tackles, 12.0 TFL, 6.5 sacks, and two passes defended.

Cleveland Betting Info

• Cleveland has registered a 6-9-0 record against the spread this year.
• The Browns have an against the spread record of 4-7 in their 11 games when underdogs by 3.5 points or more this year.
• This season, eight Cleveland games have gone over the point total.
• This season, the Browns have won two out of the 12 games, or 16.7%, in which they've been the underdog.
• The implied probability of a win by the Browns based on the moneyline is 40.0%.

Browns Stats

Cleveland's Key Players

Offense

• So far this year, Harold Fannin has 70 receptions for 701 yards with five receiving touchdowns. He has been targeted 105 times and averages 4.7 catches per game in 15 games played.
• Shedeur Sanders has 1,103 passing yards, six touchdowns and eight interceptions. His completion percentage is 55.1% and he averages 183.8 yards per game and 6.6 per attempt.
• Sanders also has one rushing touchdown and 123 rushing yards (second on the Browns).
• Through nine games this season, Dillon Gabriel has totaled 937 passing yards, with seven touchdowns against two interceptions and completing 59.5% of his passes.
• Jerry Jeudy has 43 catches for 531 yards and two receiving touchdowns. He averages 2.9 yards per game in 15 games and has been targeted 93 times.

Defense

• Myles Garrett's 2025 effort includes 58 tackles, 32.0 TFL, and 22 sacks through 15 games.
• Carson Schwesinger has 136 tackles, 11.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and two interceptions. He leads the Browns and is ninth in the NFL in tackles.
• Devin Bush Jr. has recorded 2.0 sacks as well as 6.0 TFL, 101 tackles, and two interceptions in the 2025 season.
• Tyson Campbell's stat sheet includes one interception as well as 79 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 16 passes defended in 15 games

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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