Ravens vs. Steelers 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 4

Ravens vs. Steelers 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 4

Published Jan. 2, 2026 8:43 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

In a battle of two division rivals, the Baltimore Ravens (8-8) will meet the Pittsburgh Steelers (9-7). The Ravens are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5). The total for this one is set at 41.5 points.

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Ravens vs. Steelers Odds & Betting Lines

Ravens vs Steelers Betting Information updated as of January 2, 2026, 8:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Ravens -3.5 -123 -108 41.5 -107 -125

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Ravens vs. Steelers Prediction & Pick

  • Pick ATS: Steelers (+3.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (41.5)
  • Prediction: Steelers 24 - Ravens 23

How to Watch Baltimore vs. Pittsburgh

  • Game date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
  • Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Acrisure Stadium
  • Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • TV: NBC/Peacock
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Ravens vs. Steelers Recent Matchups

  • Over their last five meetings, Pittsburgh has put up three wins against Baltimore.
  • Over their last five head-to-head contests, Baltimore has scored 110 points, while Pittsburgh has compiled 93.

Baltimore Betting Info

  • Baltimore is 6-10-0 against the spread this year.
  • The Ravens are 3-5 ATS this season when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
  • Baltimore has combined with its opponent to eclipse the over/under in 62.5% of its contests this year (10 times in 16 games with a set point total).
  • When playing as moneyline favorites, the Ravens have won 53.8% of the time (7-6).
  • The Ravens have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 68.6%.

Ravens Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 172.7 (2,763) 28
Rush yards 157.8 (2,525) 1
Points scored 25 (400) 11
Pass yards against 245.3 (3,924) 29
Rush yards against 107.1 (1,713) 11
Points allowed 23.3 (372) 18

Baltimore's Key Players

Offense

  • On the ground, Derrick Henry averages 5.1 yards per attempt (sixth in the NFL) and 91.8 yards per game for 1,469 total rushing yards (third in the NFL). He has recorded 16 rushing touchdowns this season.
  • Lamar Jackson has passed for 2,311 yards, 18 touchdowns and six interceptions this year. He averages 192.6 yards per game and 8.1 per attempt, while completing 63.7%.
  • He has added 340 rushing yards (28.3 per game) and two touchdowns on the ground.
  • Zay Flowers has three touchdown catches this season, and has 82 catches (10th in the NFL) for 1,073 yards (ninth in the NFL) on 112 targets, while averaging 5.1 catches and 67.1 yards per game.
  • Mark Andrews averages 2.9 receptions and 25.5 yards per game, and has 408 total receiving yards and 46 catches. He's gotten 67 total targets, and has caught five touchdown passes.

Defense

  • On defense for the Ravens, Roquan Smith has racked up 127 tackles and 5.0 TFL in 2025.
  • Kyle Hamilton has 96 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and one sack this season. He's second on the Ravens in tackles.
  • Marlon Humphrey has totaled 61 tackles, 2.0 TFL, one sack, and four interceptions this year.
  • So far this season, Dre'Mont Jones has 43 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and seven sacks.

Pittsburgh Betting Info

  • Pittsburgh has covered the spread eight times in 16 games with a set total.
  • This season, the Steelers have won against the spread in each of their two games as an underdog of 3.5 points or more.
  • This year, nine Pittsburgh games have gone over the point total.
  • The Steelers have been underdogs in eight games this season and won four (50%) of those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 35.7% chance of a victory for the Steelers.

Steelers Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 196.9 (3,150) 22
Rush yards 103.5 (1,656) 26
Points scored 23.2 (371) 15
Pass yards against 245.3 (3,924) 29
Rush yards against 111.6 (1,785) 12
Points allowed 22.7 (363) 15

Pittsburgh's Key Players

Offense

  • Aaron Rodgers has thrown for 3,028 yards this year, with 23 touchdowns and seven interceptions. He is completing 65.6% of his attempts while averaging 201.9 yards per game and 6.7 per attempt.
  • On the ground, Rodgers has added one rushing touchdown and 41 rushing yards (fifth on the Steelers).
  • Jaylen Warren has 892 rushing yards (leading the Steelers) and six rushing touchdowns, while averaging 59.5 yards per game and 4.5 per carry (19th in the NFL).
  • Warren also has 35 catches for 300 yards (sixth on the Steelers), with two receiving touchdowns. He has been targeted 40 times and averages 20.0 yards per game.
  • Kenneth Gainwell is averaging 32.9 rushing yards per game this season (527 total yards), while scoring four rushing touchdowns.
  • Gainwell's statistic output includes 65 receptions (4.1 per game) on 76 targets for 422 yards (26.4 per game) and three receiving touchdowns.
  • Pat Freiermuth has 435 receiving yards and four touchdowns from 38 receptions after getting 49 targets.

Defense

  • Payton Wilson's 2025 output includes 107 tackles, 6.0 TFL, two sacks, and one interception in 16 games. He is second on the Steelers in tackles.
  • Patrick Queen's stat sheet includes 119 tackles, 8.0 TFL, one sack, and four passes defended.
  • T.J. Watt has intercepted one pass on top of 53 tackles, 10.0 TFL, seven sacks, and seven passes defended in the 2025 campaign.
  • Alex Highsmith has 8.5 sacks (first on the Steelers) as well as 13.0 TFL and 48 tackles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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