Ravens vs. Steelers 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 4

Updated Jan. 4, 2026 6:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Baltimore Ravens (8-8) and Pittsburgh Steelers (9-7) will face off in a matchup of two division rivals. The Ravens are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5). The expected point total for the game is 41.5.

Keep up with the 2025 NFL season on FOX Sports.

Ravens vs. Steelers Odds & Betting Lines

Ravens vs Steelers Betting Information updated as of January 4, 2026, 11:33 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Ravens	-3.5	-112	-108	41.5	-108	-112

This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners. If you sign up or place a wager, FOX Sports may be compensated. Read more about Sports Betting on FOX Sports.

Ravens vs. Steelers Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Steelers (+3.5)
Pick OU: Over (41.5)
Prediction: Steelers 24 - Ravens 23

How to Watch Baltimore vs. Pittsburgh

Game date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
Venue: Acrisure Stadium
Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
TV: NBC/Peacock
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Ravens vs. Steelers Recent Matchups

Pittsburgh holds a 3-2 record against Baltimore in their last five matchups.
Over their last five head-to-head matchups, Baltimore has put up 110 points, while Pittsburgh has posted 93.

Baltimore Betting Info

Baltimore is 6-10-0 against the spread this year.
The Ravens have been favored by 3.5 points or more nine times this season, and covered the spread in three of those games.
Baltimore games this year have hit the over on 10 of 16 set point totals (62.5%).
When playing as moneyline favorites, the Ravens have won 53.8% of the time (7-6).
Looking at this contest's moneyline, the Ravens' implied win probability is 65.8%.

Ravens Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	172.7 (2,763)	28
Rush yards	157.8 (2,525)	1
Points scored	25 (400)	13
Pass yards against	245.3 (3,924)	29
Rush yards against	107.1 (1,713)	10
Points allowed	23.3 (372)	18

Baltimore's Key Players

Offense

Derrick Henry's rushing stat line this season includes 1,469 yards (fourth in the NFL) and 16 TDs. He's averaging 91.8 yards per game and 5.1 per attempt (fifth in the NFL).
Lamar Jackson has 2,311 passing yards, 18 touchdowns and six interceptions this year. He has completed 63.7% of his attempts, averaging 192.6 yards per game and 8.1 per attempt.
He's rushed for 340 yards (second on the Ravens) and added two touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 28.3 rushing yards per game.
In the passing attack, Zay Flowers, has contributed with 1,073 receiving yards (10th in the NFL) and three touchdowns after grabbing 82 balls on 112 targets. Per game, he's averaging 67.1 yards and 5.1 receptions in 16 games.
Mark Andrews has put up 408 receiving yards and five touchdowns with 46 catches on 67 targets. He is averaging 2.9 receptions and 25.5 yards per game.

Defense

Over on defense, Roquan Smith has 127 tackles and 5.0 TFL in 2025. His tackle total leads the Ravens.
Kyle Hamilton has 96 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and one sack this season. He's second on the Ravens in tackles.
Marlon Humphrey has collected four interceptions (eighth in the NFL) and also has 61 tackles, 2.0 TFL, one sack, and 12 passes defended.
So far this season, Dre'Mont Jones has 43 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and seven sacks.

Pittsburgh Betting Info

Pittsburgh has covered the spread eight times over 16 games with a set total.
This season, the Steelers have an against-the-spread record of 3-1 in their four games as an underdog of 3.5 points or more.
This season, Pittsburgh games have hit the over nine times.
This season, the Steelers have won four out of the eight games in which they've been the underdog.
The implied probability of a win by the Steelers based on the moneyline is 38.5%.

Steelers Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	196.9 (3,150)	22
Rush yards	103.5 (1,656)	26
Points scored	23.2 (371)	18
Pass yards against	245.3 (3,924)	29
Rush yards against	111.6 (1,785)	12
Points allowed	22.7 (363)	17

Pittsburgh's Key Players

Offense

In 15 games played this year, Aaron Rodgers has totaled 3,028 passing yards, with 23 touchdowns against seven interceptions and completing 65.6% of his attempts.
Rodgers has also rushed for one touchdown and 41 yards (fifth on the Steelers).
Jaylen Warren has scored six rushing touchdowns, while totaling 892 rushing yards (4.5 per carry and 59.5 per game).
Warren has also collected 300 receiving yards (20.0 per game) on 35 catches (2.3 per game). He's been targeted 40 times and has caught two touchdown passes.
Kenneth Gainwell is averaging 32.9 rushing yards per game this season (527 total yards), while scoring four rushing touchdowns.
In addition to his ground game, Gainwell has hauled in 65 passes (on 76 targets) for 422 yards (third on the Steelers), with three receiving touchdowns. He averages 26.4 yards per game.
Pat Freiermuth has 435 receiving yards and four touchdowns from 38 receptions after getting 49 targets.

Defense

Payton Wilson has intercepted one pass and also has 107 tackles, 6.0 TFL, two sacks, and two passes defended in 2025.
Patrick Queen has 1.0 sack to go with 8.0 TFL and 119 tackles.
T.J. Watt has recorded 7.0 sacks (second on the Steelers) as well as 10.0 TFL, 53 tackles, and one interception in the 2025 season.
Alex Highsmith's stats include 48 tackles, 13.0 TFL, 8.5 sacks, and two passes defended in 12 games