Raiders vs. Patriots Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 15

Raiders vs. Patriots Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 15

Published Oct. 11, 2023 1:07 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Las Vegas Raiders (2-3) are considered favorites (-3) according to the point spread ahead of their game versus the New England Patriots (1-4) on October 15, 2023, starting at 4:05 PM ET, airing on CBS. The expected point total for the game is 41.5.

Raiders vs. Patriots Odds & Betting Lines

Raiders vs Patriots Betting Information updated as of October 10, 2023, 4:33 PM ET.
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Raiders -3 -112 -108 41.5 -110 -110

Raiders vs. Patriots Prediction & Pick

ADVERTISEMENT
  • Pick ATS: Las Vegas (-3)
  • Pick OU: Under (41.5)
  • Prediction: Las Vegas 24 - New England 13

How to Watch Las Vegas vs. New England

  • Game Date: Sunday, October 15, 2023
  • Time: 4:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Allegiant Stadium
  • Location: Paradise, Nevada
  • TV: Watch on CBS

Raiders vs. Patriots Recent Matchups

  • In their last five head-to-head matchups, New England has won against Las Vegas four times.
  • In their last five head-to-head matchups, New England has compiled 153 points versus Las Vegas, while surrendering only 92 points.

Las Vegas Betting Info

  • Las Vegas has covered the spread two times in 2023.
  • The Raiders have not covered the spread when favored by 3 points or more this season (in one opportunity).
  • Las Vegas games this year have hit the over on one of five set point totals (20%).
  • The Raiders have been moneyline favorites in two other matchups this season, and they split them.
  • Las Vegas has yet to play a game with moneyline odds of -155 or shorter.
  • The implied probability for this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Raiders a 60.8% chance to win.

Raiders Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 209.8 (1,049) 17
Rush yards 71.4 (357) 32
Points scored 15.8 (79) 28
Pass yards against 197.2 (986) 11
Rush yards against 129.4 (647) 23
Points allowed 22.8 (114) 19

Las Vegas' Key Players

Offense

  • Davante Adams' 442 receiving yards this season (ninth in the NFL) have come from 37 receptions (fifth in the NFL) on 54 targets. He's averaging 7.4 catches and 88.4 yards per game, with three receiving touchdowns (fifth in the NFL).
  • Josh Jacobs' rushing output this season includes 235 yards and two TDs. He's averaging 47.0 yards per game and 2.9 per attempt (41st in the NFL).
  • Jacobs has 23 catches on 30 targets for 193 yards. He has yet to score a touchdown in the passing game.
  • Jimmy Garoppolo has 917 passing yards through four games this year, averaging 229.3 per game with a 68.8% completion percentage and six touchdowns against seven interceptions.
  • Jakobi Meyers has 25 catches for 274 yards and three touchdowns. He's been targeted 36 times in the air attack, and averages 6.3 receptions and 68.5 yards in four games played.

Defense

  • On the defensive side, Maxx Crosby has 28 tackles, 8.0 TFL, and five sacks in 2023.
  • Robert Spillane has 42 tackles, 2.0 TFL, one sack, and two interceptions this season.
  • This season, Divine Deablo has put up 1.0 sack (second on the Raiders) in addition to his 3.0 TFL and 40 tackles.
  • So far this season, Trevon Moehrig has 26 tackles, one sack, and one interception.

New England Betting Info

  • New England has put together a record of 1-4-0 against the spread this year.
  • The Patriots have yet to cover the spread this year when underdogs by 3 points or more.
  • This season, New England games have hit the over just once.
  • The Patriots have been listed as the underdog three times this season and have failed to win any of those games.
  • New England has not won as an underdog of +130 or more on the moneyline this season in two such games.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 43.5% chance of a victory for the Patriots.

Patriots Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 203.6 (1,018) 18
Rush yards 83.8 (419) 26
Points scored 11.0 (55) 32
Pass yards against 190.4 (952) 6
Rush yards against 108.0 (540) 16
Points allowed 26.2 (131) 25

New England's Key Players

Offense

  • Mac Jones has thrown for 1,008 yards this year, with five touchdowns and six interceptions. He is completing 62.5% of his passes while averaging 201.6 yards per game and 6.0 per attempt.
  • He's added 60 yards on the ground (third on the Patriots), while scoring zero rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 12.0 yards per game and 4.0 per attempt.
  • Kendrick Bourne has put together a 2023 campaign that includes 18 catches for 218 yards and two receiving touchdowns in five games played. He has been on the receiving end of 33 targets and is averaging 3.6 receptions per game.
  • So far this season through five games, Rhamondre Stevenson has racked up 188 rushing yards (leading the Patriots) and scored one rushing touchdown. He averages 37.6 yards per game and 2.8 per carry (43rd in the NFL).
  • Stevenson's stat sheet includes 12 receptions (2.4 per game) on 18 targets for 87 yards (17.4 per game), but he has not found the end zone in the passing game.
  • Hunter Henry has 176 receiving yards and two touchdowns from 17 receptions after receiving 25 targets.

Defense

  • In 2023, Myles Bryant has put up 1.0 sack to go with 3.0 TFL and 31 tackles through five games.
  • Ja'Whaun Bentley has 36 tackles, 3.0 TFL, one sack, and two passes defended.
  • In the 2023 campaign, Matthew Judon has 13 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and four sacks in four games.
  • Kyle Dugger has 35 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and two passes defended.
share