Patriots vs. Falcons 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 2

The New England Patriots (6-2) are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -5.5) over the Atlanta Falcons (3-4). The Patriots have won five games straight. The total for this one is set at 45.5 points.

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Patriots vs. Falcons Odds & Betting Lines

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Patriots vs. Falcons Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Patriots (-5.5)
  
• Pick OU: Under (45.5)
  
• Prediction: Patriots 28 - Falcons 14

How to Watch New England vs. Atlanta

• Game date: Sunday, November 2, 2025
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• Venue: Gillette Stadium
• Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
• TV: CBS
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Patriots vs. Falcons Recent Matchups

• Over their last two meetings, New England has put up two wins against Atlanta.
• In their last two head-to-head matchups, New England has racked up 48 points against Atlanta, while allowing only 7 points.

New England Betting Info

• Against the spread, New England is 6-2-0 this season.
• The Patriots have been favored by 5.5 points or more two times this season, and covered the spread in both.
• New England games this year have hit the over on four of eight set point totals (50%).
• When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Patriots have won 80% of the time (4-1).
• Looking at this game's moneyline, the Patriots' implied win probability is 72.1%.

Patriots Stats

New England's Key Players

Offense

• Drake Maye has 2,026 passing yards (fifth in the NFL), 15 touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) and three interceptions this year. He has completed 75.2% of his attempts, averaging 253.3 yards per game and 9 per attempt.
• To go along with his passing statistics, Maye also has 250 rushing yards (second on the Patriots), with two rushing touchdowns.
• Kayshon Boutte has 23 receptions for 431 yards and five TDs. Through eight games, he is averaging 2.9 catches and 53.9 yards per game.
• Rhamondre Stevenson has 279 rushing yards with three touchdowns (34.9 yards per game across eight games).
• Stevenson has totaled 16 catches on 19 targets for 169 yards, but he has not scored a touchdown in the passing game.
• Hunter Henry averages 3.1 receptions and 39.6 yards per game, and has 317 total receiving yards and 25 catches. He's gotten 37 total targets, and has caught four touchdown passes.

Defense

• On the defensive side, Robert Spillane has 67 tackles, three TFL, one sack, and two interceptions in 2025. His tackle total leads the Patriots and is eighth in the NFL.
• Harold Landry has 29 tackles, seven TFL, and 5.5 sacks this season.
• Marcus Jones has totaled 36 tackles, six TFL, one sack, and two interceptions this year.
• Jaylinn Hawkins has two interceptions (10th in the NFL) while adding 27 tackles, two TFL, 1.5 sacks, and two passes defended.

Atlanta Betting Info

• Atlanta has put together a record of 3-4-0 against the spread this year.
• Atlanta games have gone over the total once this year.
• This season, the Falcons have won two out of the four games in which they've been the underdog.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Falcons have a 32.3% chance to win.

Falcons Stats

Atlanta's Key Players

Offense

• Bijan Robinson averages 78.4 rushing yards per game this year (549 total yards to rank ninth in the NFL), while scoring two rushing touchdowns.
• Robinson's contributions include 33 receptions (4.7 per game) on 42 targets for 413 yards (59 per game) and two receiving touchdowns.
• In six games, Michael Penix Jr. has 1,409 passing yards, with five touchdowns against three interceptions and completing 61% of his passes.
• He has added 43 rushing yards (fourth on the Falcons), while scoring one touchdown on the ground (averaging 7.2 yards per game and 2.5 per carry).
• Through six games played this season, Drake London has 38 catches (6.3 receptions per game on 10.5 targets per game) for 469 yards and two receiving touchdowns.
• Tyler Allgeier has scored four touchdowns on the ground, while running for 207 total yards (3.4 per attempt and 29.6 per game).

Defense

• Kaden Elliss has amassed 1.5 sacks (third on the Falcons) to go with six TFL, 48 tackles, and one interception over seven games in 2025.
• Xavier Watts has totaled 40 tackles and two interceptions through seven games.
• Over the 2025 campaign, DeAundre Alford has 22 tackles, two TFL, two sacks, and one interception in six games.
• Zach Harrison has put up 3.5 sacks (first on the Falcons) to go with four TFL and 17 tackles through six games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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New England Patriots

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