Lions vs. Commanders 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 9

The Washington Commanders (3-6) will be trying to snap a four-game losing run against the Detroit Lions (5-3). The Lions are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -7.5). The expected point total for the matchup is set at 49.5.

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Lions vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Lines

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Lions vs. Commanders Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Lions (-7.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (49.5)
  
• Prediction: Lions 30 - Commanders 21

How to Watch Detroit vs. Washington

• Game date: Sunday, November 9, 2025
• Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
• Venue: Northwest Stadium
• Location: Landover, Maryland
• TV: Watch on FOX
• Streaming: FOXSports.com, FOX Sports App and FOX One (Try free for 7 days)

Lions vs. Commanders Recent Matchups

• In their past three head-to-head contests, Washington has won against Detroit two times.
• Over their last three head-to-head contests, Washington has racked up 91 points, while Detroit has accumulated 83.

Detroit Betting Info

• Against the spread, Detroit is 5-3-0 this season.
• The Lions have covered the spread twice this season (2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 7.5-point favorites.
• Detroit games this year have gone over the total in four out of eight opportunities (50%).
• The Lions have won 80% of the time they have played as moneyline favorites (4-1).
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Lions' implied win probability is 82.0%.

Lions Stats

Detroit's Key Players

Offense

• Jared Goff has thrown for 1,915 yards, 17 touchdowns (fourth in the NFL) and three interceptions this year. He averages 239.4 yards per game and 8 per attempt, while completing 73.8% of his attempts.
• Jahmyr Gibbs averages 4.9 yards per carry (13th in the NFL) and 68.9 yards per game, and has 551 total rushing yards. He has scored six rushing TDs this season.
• Gibbs' 31 targets as part of the passing attack have resulted in 29 catches (3.6 per game) for 197 yards (24.6 per game) and one touchdown.
• In eight games played, Amon-Ra St. Brown is averaging 79.4 yards and 7.4 receptions per game to total 635 receiving yards (sixth in the NFL) and 59 catches (fourth in the NFL). He's been targeted 74 times, and has seven receiving touchdowns (second in the NFL).
• David Montgomery has rushed for 395 yards with five touchdowns (49.4 yards per game in eight games).
• Montgomery's 17 receiving targets have led to 13 receptions (1.6 per game) for 106 yards (13.3 per game) and zero TDs.

Defense

• On the defensive side, Jack Campbell has 71 tackles, six TFL, and four sacks in 2025. His tackle total leads the Lions.
• Aidan Hutchinson has 18 tackles, seven TFL, and seven sacks this season.
• This season, Derrick Barnes has put up four sacks (third on the Lions) to go with his five TFL and 45 tackles.
• Alex Anzalone has one interception while tacking on 46 tackles, one TFL, 1.5 sacks, and four passes defended.

Washington Betting Info

• Washington has put together a record of 3-6-0 against the spread this season.
• The Commanders have yet to cover the spread this season when underdogs by 7.5 points or more.
• This season, Washington games have hit the over four times.
• The Commanders have entered the game as underdogs six times this season and won once.
• The implied probability of a win by the Commanders based on the moneyline is 22.2%.

Commanders Stats

Washington's Key Players

Offense

• Through six games played this year, Jayden Daniels has racked up 1,184 passing yards, while throwing eight touchdowns against two interceptions and completing 62.5% of his attempts.
• On the ground, Daniels has added two rushing touchdowns and 262 rushing yards (second on the Commanders).
• Jacory Croskey-Merritt has 440 rushing yards (leading the Commanders) and four rushing touchdowns, while averaging 48.9 yards per game and 4.7 per attempt (16th in the NFL).
• So far this season, Deebo Samuel has caught 42 passes for 367 receiving yards with three touchdowns through the air. He has been targeted 55 total times and is averaging 5.3 receptions per game through eight games played.
• Zach Ertz has been targeted 44 times, resulting in 31 catches for 291 yards .

Defense

• Bobby Wagner has two sacks (fourth on the Commanders) to go with six TFL, 90 tackles, and one interception over nine games in 2025.
• Frankie Luvu has totaled two sacks in addition to his four TFL and 50 tackles through nine games.
• Quan Martin has 57 tackles and one TFL in the 2025 season. He is second on the Commanders in tackles.
• Jeremy Reaves' stats include 43 tackles, four TFL, one sack, and two passes defended in nine games

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Washington Commanders

Detroit Lions