Jaguars vs. Falcons Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 1

Published Sep. 27, 2023 1:05 p.m. ET

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The Jacksonville Jaguars (1-2) are considered favorites (-3) according to the oddsmakers ahead of their game versus the Atlanta Falcons (2-1) on October 1, 2023, starting at 9:30 AM ET, airing on ESPN+. The game has an over/under of 43 points.

Jaguars vs. Falcons Odds & Betting Lines

Jaguars vs. Falcons Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Jacksonville (-3)
  
• Pick OU: Under (43)
  
• Prediction: Jacksonville 22 - Atlanta 18

How to Watch Jacksonville vs. Atlanta

• Game Date: Sunday, October 1, 2023
• Time: 9:30 AM ET
• Venue: Wembley Stadium
• Location: London, United Kingdom
• TV: Watch on ESPN+

Jaguars vs. Falcons Recent Matchups

• Atlanta has a 4-1 record against Jacksonville in their last five matchups.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, Atlanta has compiled 116 points against Jacksonville, while surrendering only 70 points.

Jacksonville Betting Info

• Jacksonville covered eight times in 17 chances against the spread last season.
• The Jaguars had one win ATS (1-3) as a 3-point favorite or more last year.
• Last season, eight Jacksonville games went over the point total.
• The Jaguars won two of the five games they were favored on the moneyline last season (40%).
• Jacksonville had a record of 2-1 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -162 or shorter (66.7%).
• Based on this game's moneyline, the Jaguars' implied win probability is 61.8%.

Jaguars Stats (2022)

Jacksonville's Key Players

Offense

• Trevor Lawrence averaged 7.0 passing yards per attempt (18th in the NFL) and 241.9 yards per game last year, completing 66.3% of his passes on the way to 4,113 total yards (ninth in the NFL), 25 touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) and eight interceptions in 17 games.
• On the ground, Lawrence added five rushing touchdowns and 291 rushing yards.
• Travis Etienne scored five rushing touchdowns, while totaling 1,125 rushing yards (5.1 per carry and 66.2 per game).
• Etienne also picked up 316 receiving yards (18.6 per game) on 35 catches (2.1 per game). He was targeted 45 times and is still looking for his first receiving touchdown.
• Christian Kirk put up 1,108 receiving yards and eight touchdowns on 84 receptions while being targeted 133 times last year.
• Zay Jones had 823 receiving yards and five touchdowns from 82 receptions on 121 targets.

Defense

• Foyesade Oluokun's 2022 showing included 184 tackles, 12.0 TFL, and two sacks over 17 games.
• Rayshawn Jenkins' stat sheet included three interceptions as well as 112 tackles, 3.0 TFL, one sack, and 12 passes defended.
• Josh Allen recorded 7.0 sacks as well as 11.0 TFL and 57 tackles in the 2022 season.
• Devin Lloyd put up 115 tackles and three interceptions over 17 games.

Atlanta Betting Info

• Atlanta covered nine times in 17 games with a spread last year.
• The Falcons had an ATS record of 5-3 as underdogs of 3 points or greater last year.
• Last season, seven Atlanta games hit the over.
• Last season, the Falcons won three out of the 12 games, or 25%, in which they were the underdog.
• Last season, Atlanta won one of its eight games when it was the underdog by at least +136 on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Falcons have a 42.4% chance to win.

Falcons Stats (2022)

Atlanta's Key Players

Offense

• Tyler Allgeier averaged 64.7 yards rushing last season (1,035 total yards) while scoring three rushing TDs.
• Allgeier's offensive contributions included 16 catches (1.0 per game) on 17 targets for 139 yards (8.7 per game). He had one receiving TD.
• Cordarrelle Patterson averaged 53.5 rushing yards in 13 games (695 total yards), and scored eight rushing TDs.
• For the Commanders last season, Taylor Heinicke passed for 1,859 yards, 12 TDs and had six INTs. He completed 62.2% of his attempts, averaging 206.6 yards per game and 7.2 per attempt.
• Heinicke also ran for one TD and 96 yards.
• Drake London was targeted 117 times, resulting in 72 receptions for 866 yards .

Defense

• Richie Grant recorded 3.0 TFL, 122 tackles, and two interceptions in his 17 games in 2022.
• With the Saints last year, Kaden Elliss had 7.0 sacks plus 7.0 TFL and 74 tackles.
• Grady Jarrett had 61 tackles, 12.0 TFL, six sacks, and three passes defended in 2022.
• Jaylinn Hawkins picked off two passes to go with 82 tackles and six passes defended.

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NFL - Atlanta Falcons vs. Jacksonville Jaguars - 10/01/2023