Ezekiel Elliott Odds and Prop Bets vs. Bills – NFL Week 17 2023

Ezekiel Elliott Odds and Prop Bets vs. Bills – NFL Week 17 2023

Updated Dec. 31, 2023 10:53 a.m. ET

Ezekiel Elliott's New England Patriots will take the field against the Buffalo Bills at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday in Week 17 of the 2023 NFL campaign. In this article we dig into all of Elliott's prop bets available for this contest, and examine the stats to figure out the best predictions.

Looking at recent stats, Ezekiel Elliott has carried 45 times for 120 yards (2.7 YPC) and zero touchdowns over his past three games, with 21 catches on 25 targets for 126 yards in the passing game.

Learn more about Ezekiel Elliott vs. the Buffalo Bills on FOX Sports.

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Ezekiel Elliott vs. Bills Player Props

Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
43.5 -115 27.5 -120 +130

Ezekiel Elliott vs. Buffalo Game Info

  • Matchup: New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills
  • Game Day: December 31, 2023
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM
  • Rushing Yards Prop: Over 43.5 (-115)
  • Receiving Yards Prop: Over 27.5 (-120)
  • TV: Watch on CBS

Ezekiel Elliott Season Stats

Carries Rush Yards Rush TDs Rush Yards/Carry Targets Receptions Rec Yards Rec TDs
157 549 2 3.5 56 45 280 2

Ezekiel Elliott Betting Insights

  • Elliott averages 36.6 rushing yards, 6.9 fewer than Sunday's prop total.
  • Five times this year (in 15 games, 33.3%), he has run for more than 43.5 yards.
  • Elliott's rushing yards average of 36.6 is 0.2 higher than his over/under average (36.4).
  • He has gone over his rushing yards prop bet seven times (in 10 opportunities) this year.
  • Elliott has found the end zone via the ground in two games this season.

Bills' Defense 2023 Rankings

Stat AVG (Rank)
Pass Yds/Game Allowed 198.9 (9)
Pass Yds/Attempt Allowed 6 (7)
Rush Yds/Game Allowed 111.3 (16)
Rush Yds/Attempt Allowed 4.6 (27)
Total Yds/Game Allowed 310.2 (10)
Yards/Play Allowed 5.4 (12)
Points/Game Allowed 18.4 (4)

Patriots' 2023 Stats

  • While the Patriots rank seventh in total defense with 306.1 yards allowed per game, they've been slightly less successful on offense, ranking fifth-worst (285.5 yards per game).
  • Looking at pace stats, New England is one of the more sluggish offenses in the league this season, getting off 61 offensive plays per game (ninth-fewest in NFL).
  • The Patriots rank 24th in pass offense (189.8 passing yards per game) and 15th in pass defense (221.3 passing yards allowed per game) this year.
  • The Patriots rank 25th in rushing yards this season (95.7 rushing yards per game), but they've been thriving on defense, ranking second-best in the NFL with 84.8 rushing yards allowed per game.
  • So far this season, New England ranks 12th in NFL with a pass rate of 55.1%. Meanwhile, it ranks 22nd with a rush rate of 40.7% (with 4.2% of its offensive plays ending in a sack).
  • The Patriots have the second-best defense this season in terms of yards per play (5 yards per play allowed), but they rank fourth-worst on the offensive side of the ball (5 yards per play).
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